Yokohama F. Marinos v Shimizu S-pulse

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Yokohama F. Marinos win at 51%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Yokohama F. Marinos 51% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 51–25–24
3. 1′KICK-OFF Yokohama F. Marinos v Shimizu S-pulse
4. 42′SUBSTITUTION · 41' Shimizu S-pulse · On: S. Hasukawa · Off: J. Sumiyoshi
5. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Yokohama F. Marinos win: 51% at kick-off, 40% now
6. 45′HALF-TIME Yokohama F. Marinos 0–0 Shimizu S-pulse
7. 46′SECOND HALF Yokohama F. Marinos 0–0 Shimizu S-pulse
8. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Yokohama F. Marinos · On: K. Tanimura · Off: D. Tono
9. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Yokohama F. Marinos · On: K. Suwama · Off: J. Quinones
10. 49′We said Yokohama F. Marinos at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–41–21
11. 56′Goalless on 56′ when we expected about 2.7 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 35–45–20
12. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Yokohama F. Marinos win 35%)
13. 59′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Yokohama F. Marinos
14. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Shimizu S-pulse · On: T. Fujii · Off: Capixaba
15. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Shimizu S-pulse · On: M. Yumiba · Off: K. Kozuka
16. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 59' K. Chinen · Yokohama F. Marinos
17. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Yokohama F. Marinos 0–1 Shimizu S-pulse
18. 67′T. Fujii scores for Shimizu S-pulse on 61′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 5–22–72
19. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Yokohama F. Marinos win: 51% at kick-off, 5% now
20. 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Shimizu S-pulse win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 22%)
21. 69′We said Yokohama F. Marinos at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 5%. 0–1 · 5–22–74
22. 71′We said Yokohama F. Marinos at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–75
23. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Yokohama F. Marinos · On: T. Kimura · Off: K. Sekitomi
24. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse
25. 73′72′ and it is 1–1: Yokohama F. Marinos have scored. 1–1 · 23–64–14
26. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Yokohama F. Marinos win: 51% at kick-off, 23% now
27. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Draw is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Shimizu S-pulse win 14%)
28. 75′We said Yokohama F. Marinos at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 21%. 1–1 · 21–67–12
29. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Yokohama F. Marinos win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
30. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Yokohama F. Marinos · On: Tevis · Off: R. Nitta
31. 77′We said Yokohama F. Marinos at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–70–11
32. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Yokohama F. Marinos · On: R. Miyaichi · Off: T. Inoue
33. 79′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–1 · 16–74–10
34. 81′We said Yokohama F. Marinos at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–78–9
35. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Yokohama F. Marinos 2–1 Shimizu S-pulse
36. 83′Yokohama F. Marinos ahead on 82′ through K. Chinen. 2–1. 2–1 · 93–7–0
37. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Yokohama F. Marinos win: 51% at kick-off, 93% now
38. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Yokohama F. Marinos win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 7%)
39. 85′We said Yokohama F. Marinos at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 2–1 · 94–5–0
40. 88′We said Yokohama F. Marinos at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 2–1 · 96–4–0
41. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Shimizu S-pulse · On: H. Hidaka · Off: S. Takagi
42. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Shimizu S-pulse · On: R. Ohata · Off: Y. Shimamoto
43. 90′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 97–3–0
44. FTFULL TIME Yokohama F. Marinos 2–1 Shimizu S-pulse
45. FTYokohama F. Marinos 2–1 Shimizu S-pulse · Yokohama F. Marinos win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.