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Model 1.2

Home › Football › J-League Cup › Nagoya Grampus v Urawa

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Nagoya Grampus v Urawa

Nagoya Grampus
10:00Upcoming
Urawa

J-League Cup · WED 28 OCT · Toyota Stadium

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Nagoya GrampusDrawUrawa
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Nagoya Grampus 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Nagoya Grampus just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Nagoya Grampus 37%, draw 26%, Urawa 36%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Nagoya Grampus v UrawaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Nagoya Grampus win37%
Draw26%
Urawa win36%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 10:00

RoundRound of 16

VenueToyota Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Nagoya Grampus

Urawa

7Days since last match7

Last match: 21 Oct · J1 League

Last match: 21 Oct · J1 League

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · nagoya grampus winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
37% The market–
Us37%

We make Nagoya Grampus a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Nagoya Grampus v Urawa1.33 – 1.31
Form · J-League Cup this season · since 29 SeptW1 D1 L0 · W2 D0 L0

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Nagoya Grampus win37%––
Draw26%––
Urawa win36%––
Over 2.5 goals49%––
Both teams to score54%––
Over 1.5 goals74%––
Over 3.5 goals27%––
Nagoya Grampus or draw64%––
Nagoya Grampus clean sheet27%––
Urawa clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.5%
0123450 7.5 9.2 6.1 2.7 1 9.3 12.5 8.0 3.5 2 6.3 8.2 5.3 2.3 3 2.8 3.7 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Nagoya Grampus down, Urawa across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.20
Over 2.56 of 10
Both scored4 of 10
Last meetingsURA 2–1 NAG · NAG 2–1 URA · NAG 0–1 URA · URA 2–1 NAG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · J-League Cup this season · since 29 Sept

NAGOYA GRAMPUS

WD3–1 · 3–3

URAWA

WW3–2 · 4–0