Nagoya Grampus v Fagiano Okayama

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Nagoya Grampus win at 42%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Nagoya Grampus 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–27–32
3. 1′KICK-OFF Nagoya Grampus v Fagiano Okayama
4. 9′🟨 YELLOW · 9' Fagiano Okayama
5. 11′🟨 YELLOW · 9' R. Sueyoshi · Fagiano Okayama
6. 28′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Nagoya Grampus
7. 29′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Mateus · Nagoya Grampus
8. 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Fagiano Okayama
9. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama
10. 33′A goal for Nagoya Grampus on 32′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 36–35–29
11. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Nagoya Grampus win 33%)
12. 45′HALF-TIME Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama
13. 46′SECOND HALF Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama
14. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Fagiano Okayama
15. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Nagoya Grampus · On: T. Takamine · Off: T. Morishima
16. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Nagoya Grampus · On: H. Fujii · Off: S. Inagaki
17. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Nagoya Grampus · On: Y. Kimura · Off: T. Kikuchi
18. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Fagiano Okayama · On: H. Omori · Off: T. Yamane
19. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Fagiano Okayama
20. 51′Fagiano Okayama find the net on 50′. 2–2. 2–2 · 31–44–25
21. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Nagoya Grampus win: 42% at kick-off, 31% now
22. 53′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Fagiano Okayama
23. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 53' I. Shu · Fagiano Okayama
24. 58′Fagiano Okayama level it on 51′ through Y. Fujii. 2–2. 2–2 · 28–49–23
25. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Fagiano Okayama · On: A. Esaka · Off: K. Kawano
26. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Fagiano Okayama · On: E. Miyamoto · Off: M. Matsumoto
27. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Fagiano Okayama · On: Leo Gaucho · Off: Lucao
28. 69′A goal for Nagoya Grampus on 69′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 82–16–2
29. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Nagoya Grampus 3–2 Fagiano Okayama
30. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Nagoya Grampus win: 42% at kick-off, 82% now
31. 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Nagoya Grampus win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 16%)
32. 71′We said Nagoya Grampus at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 83%. 3–2 · 83–15–2
33. 73′5 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 84–14–2
34. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Nagoya Grampus · On: S. Sugiura · Off: Mateus
35. 75′We said Nagoya Grampus at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 3–2 · 86–13–1
36. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Fagiano Okayama · On: Oberdan · Off: R. Takeuchi
37. 81′We said Nagoya Grampus at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 3–2 · 90–9–1
38. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Nagoya Grampus win: 42% at kick-off, 92% now
39. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Fagiano Okayama
40. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Kamiya Yuta · Fagiano Okayama
41. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Nagoya Grampus
42. 87′We said Nagoya Grampus at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
43. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Y. Sato · Nagoya Grampus
44. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Nagoya Grampus · On: S. Fukaya · Off: M. Ono
45. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Nagoya Grampus 3–3 Fagiano Okayama
46. 90′88′ and it is 3–3: Fagiano Okayama have scored. 3–3 · 4–92–4
47. 90′We said Nagoya Grampus at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 3–3 · 4–92–4
48. 90′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 4–92–4
49. 90′We said Nagoya Grampus at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 3–3 · 27–51–22
50. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Nagoya Grampus win: 42% at kick-off, 4% now
51. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Nagoya Grampus win 4%)
52. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP Nagoya Grampus win: 42% at kick-off, 27% now
53. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 106' Nagoya Grampus
54. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 94' Nagoya Grampus win: 42% at kick-off, 25% now
55. 95′🟨 YELLOW · 106' Y. Kimura · Nagoya Grampus
56. 96′We said Nagoya Grampus at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 3–3 · 24–57–20
57. 97′SUBSTITUTION · 91' Fagiano Okayama · On: H. Motoyama · Off: R. Sueyoshi
58. 97′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 97' Nagoya Grampus win: 42% at kick-off, 14% now
59. 99′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 99' Nagoya Grampus win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
60. 103′We said Nagoya Grampus at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 3–3 · 19–65–16
61. 103′SUBSTITUTION · 102' Nagoya Grampus · On: A. Sameshima · Off: Y. Yamagishi
62. 109′We said Nagoya Grampus at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 3–3 · 14–75–11
63. 112′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 112' Nagoya Grampus win: 42% at kick-off, 11% now
64. 112′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP Nagoya Grampus win: 42% at kick-off, 27% now
65. 112′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN Nagoya Grampus win: 42% at kick-off, 0% now
66. 114′We said Nagoya Grampus at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 3–3 · 8–85–7
67. FTFULL TIME Nagoya Grampus 3–3 Fagiano Okayama
68. FTNagoya Grampus 3–3 Fagiano Okayama after 90 minutes, as graded · Nagoya Grampus win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.