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Home › Football › J-League Cup › Mito Hollyhock v Cerezo Osaka

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Mito Hollyhock v Cerezo Osaka

Mito Hollyhock
10:00Upcoming
Cerezo Osaka

J-League Cup · WED 28 OCT · Best Denki Stadium

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Mito HollyhockDrawCerezo Osaka
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Cerezo Osaka 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Cerezo Osaka are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Mito Hollyhock 32%, draw 26%, Cerezo Osaka 42%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Mito Hollyhock v Cerezo OsakaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Mito Hollyhock win32%
Draw26%
Cerezo Osaka win42%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 10:00

RoundRound of 16

VenueBest Denki Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Mito Hollyhock

Cerezo Osaka

7Days since last match7

Last match: 21 Oct · J1 League

Last match: 21 Oct · J1 League

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cerezo osaka winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
42% The market–
Us42%

We make Cerezo Osaka a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Mito Hollyhock v Cerezo Osaka1.23 – 1.47
Form · J-League Cup this season · since 9 SeptW2 D1 L0 · W2 D0 L0

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Mito Hollyhock win32%––
Draw26%––
Cerezo Osaka win42%––
Over 2.5 goals51%––
Both teams to score54%––
Over 1.5 goals75%––
Over 3.5 goals29%––
Mito Hollyhock or draw58%––
Mito Hollyhock clean sheet23%––
Cerezo Osaka clean sheet29%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.2%
0123450 7.0 9.7 7.2 3.6 1 8.1 12.2 8.8 4.3 2 5.1 7.4 5.4 2.7 3 2.1 3.1 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Mito Hollyhock down, Cerezo Osaka across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2022

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · J-League Cup this season · since 9 Sept

MITO HOLLYHOCK

DWW0–0 · 7–0 · 1–0

CEREZO OSAKA

WW2–1 · 3–2