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Tru-Juice v Humble Lions

Tru-Juice
4–0Full time
Humble Lions

Premier League · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 23:30
Tru-Juice 4–0 Humble Lions TRU-JUICE WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Tru-Juice win53%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.333

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 10 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Tru-Juice win at 53%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Tru-Juice 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–26–21
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Tru-Juice v Humble Lions
  4. 34′A goal for Tru-Juice on 34′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 80–15–5
  5. 34′We said Tru-Juice at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–15–5
  6. 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Tru-Juice 1–0 Humble Lions
  7. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Tru-Juice win: 53% at kick-off, 80% now
  8. 35′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 80–15–5
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Tru-Juice 1–0 Humble Lions
  10. 46′SECOND HALF Tru-Juice 1–0 Humble Lions
  11. 56′Tru-Juice score on 55′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 97–3–0
  12. 56′⚽ GOAL · 55' Tru-Juice 2–0 Humble Lions
  13. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Tru-Juice win: 53% at kick-off, 97% now
  14. 57′We said Tru-Juice at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 2–0 · 97–2–0
  15. 68′Tru-Juice find the net on 68′. 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  16. 68′We said Tru-Juice at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  17. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Tru-Juice 3–0 Humble Lions
  18. 69′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  19. 79′A goal for Tru-Juice on 78′ — 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  20. 79′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  21. 79′⚽ GOAL · 78' Tru-Juice 4–0 Humble Lions
  22. FTFULL TIME Tru-Juice 4–0 Humble Lions
  23. FTTru-Juice 4–0 Humble Lions · Tru-Juice win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tru-Juice are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tru-Juice 53%, draw 26%, Humble Lions 21%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Tru-Juice v Humble LionsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 16 Oct 15:32 · locked at kick-off

Tru-Juice win53%
Draw26%
Humble Lions win21%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 21:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tru-Juice

Humble Lions

5Days since last match7

Last match: 13 Oct · Premier League (Jamaica)

Last match: 11 Oct · Premier League (Jamaica)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Tru-Juice5+38
14Humble Lions5−112

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tru-juice winFirst published 16 Oct 15:32 · locked at kick-off
53% The market–
Us53%

We make Tru-Juice a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Tru-Juice v Humble Lions1.63 – 0.92
Form · Premier League this season · since 13 SeptW2 D2 L1 · W0 D2 L3
Table places · points 8 v 25 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Tru-Juice win53%––
Draw26%––
Humble Lions win21%––
Over 2.5 goals47%––
Both teams to score48%––
Over 1.5 goals72%––
Over 3.5 goals26%––
Tru-Juice or draw79%––
Tru-Juice clean sheet41%––
Humble Lions clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.1%
0123450 9.1 6.6 3.4 1 12.1 12.0 5.2 2 10.2 9.0 4.1 3 5.7 5.0 2.3 4 2.4 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Tru-Juice down, Humble Lions across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 13 Sept

TRU-JUICE

WDWLD4–0 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 1–1

HUMBLE LIONS

LLLDD0–3 · 0–5 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Montego Bay United5+613
2Racing United5+812
3Waterhouse5+1311
4Tivoli Gardens5+48
5Tru-Juice5+38
6Cavalier407
7Portmore United3+35
8Chapelton5−75
9Arnett Gardens4+14
10Mount Pleasant Academy4−34
11Dunbeholden5−63
12Molynes United5−83
13Treasure Beach4−32
14Humble Lions5−112

The competition's standings before kick-off.