Treasure Beach v Tru-Juice prediction · Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Treasure BeachDrawTru-Juice

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Tru-Juice 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tru-Juice are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Treasure Beach 32%, draw 29%, Tru-Juice 39%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Treasure Beach v Tru-JuiceBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 15:32 · locked at kick-off

Treasure Beach win32%

Draw29%

Tru-Juice win39%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 20:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Treasure Beach

Tru-Juice

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Premier League (Jamaica)

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Tru-Juice	6	+7	11
13	Treasure Beach	5	−4	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tru-juice winFirst published 22 Oct 15:32 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Tru-Juice a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Treasure Beach v Tru-Juice~~1.13 – 1.27

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 13 Sept~~W0 D2 L3 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 2 v 11~~13 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Treasure Beach win	32%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Tru-Juice win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	69%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Treasure Beach or draw	61%	–	–
Treasure Beach clean sheet	29%	–	–
Tru-Juice clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.2%

0123450 10.2 10.9 7.4 3.3 1 9.5 13.2 7.9 3.5 2 5.8 7.0 4.4 3 2.3 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Treasure Beach down, Tru-Juice across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,195 Premier League matches up to 20 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 44.7% of games this season, across 38 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Treasure Beach at home: 1.50 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Tru-Juice away: 0.67 scored, 0.33 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.13 goals for Treasure Beach, 1.27 for Tru-Juice. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 13 Sept

TREASURE BEACH

LDLDL2–3 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 0–1

TRU-JUICE

WDWLDW4–0 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Montego Bay United	6	+6	14
2	Racing United	6	+8	13
3	Waterhouse	6	+13	12
4	Tivoli Gardens	6	+7	11
5	Tru-Juice	6	+7	11
6	Chapelton	6	−6	8
7	Cavalier	5	−1	7
8	Molynes United	6	−7	6
9	Portmore United	3	+3	5
10	Arnett Gardens	5	+1	5
11	Mount Pleasant Academy	4	−3	4
12	Dunbeholden	6	−9	3
13	Treasure Beach	5	−4	2
14	Humble Lions	6	−15	2