Racing United v Waterhouse

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Waterhouse win at 37%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Waterhouse 37% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 34–29–37
3. 1′KICK-OFF Racing United v Waterhouse
4. 16′🟥 RED CARD · 16' Waterhouse
5. 17′Waterhouse are down to ten from 16′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 33–32–35
6. 33′THE CALL SWINGS · 33' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Waterhouse win 34%)
7. 45′HALF-TIME Racing United 0–0 Waterhouse
8. 45′SECOND HALF Racing United 0–0 Waterhouse
9. 48′🟨 YELLOW · 11' G. Cunningham · Racing United
10. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Waterhouse win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
11. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.4 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 25–49–26
12. 59′We said Waterhouse at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 0–0 · 23–52–25
13. 61′We said Waterhouse at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 23–54–24
14. 70′We said Waterhouse at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 18–63–19
15. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Waterhouse win: 37% at kick-off, 17% now
16. 77′We said Waterhouse at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 13–73–14
17. 82′We said Waterhouse at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–82–9
18. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Waterhouse win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
19. 89′We said Waterhouse at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–91–4
20. FTFULL TIME Racing United 0–0 Waterhouse
21. FTRacing United 0–0 Waterhouse · Waterhouse win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.