Arnett Gardens v Molynes United prediction · Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Arnett GardensDrawMolynes United

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 22:05

Before kick-off · Match result · Arnett Gardens 65%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Arnett Gardens are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Arnett Gardens 65%, draw 20%, Molynes United 15%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Arnett Gardens v Molynes UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 15:33 · locked at kick-off

Arnett Gardens win65%

Draw20%

Molynes United win15%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 22:05

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Arnett Gardens

Molynes United

8Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Premier League (Jamaica)

Last match: 19 Oct · Premier League (Jamaica)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Molynes United	6	−7	6
10	Arnett Gardens	5	+1	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · arnett gardens winFirst published 23 Oct 15:33 · locked at kick-off

65% The market–

Us65%

We make Arnett Gardens a 65% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Arnett Gardens v Molynes United~~2.27 – 0.98

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 14 Sept~~W1 D2 L2 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 5 v 6~~10 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Arnett Gardens win	65%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Molynes United win	15%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Arnett Gardens or draw	85%	–	–
Arnett Gardens clean sheet	38%	–	–
Molynes United clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.8%

0123450 4.8 3.5 1 8.5 9.1 4.2 2 9.8 9.4 4.6 3 7.3 7.0 3.4 4 4.2 4.0 5 2.0

under 2% 5% 12%+Arnett Gardens down, Molynes United across0–5 goals a side shown (96.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,195 Premier League matches up to 20 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 44.7% of games this season, across 38 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.20 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Arnett Gardens at home: 2.33 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Molynes United away: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.27 goals for Arnett Gardens, 0.98 for Molynes United. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.20

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~MOL 3–0 ARN · ARN 0–0 MOL · MOL 3–1 ARN · MOL 0–4 ARN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 14 Sept

ARNETT GARDENS

LWLDD2–3 · 3–0 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 2–2

MOLYNES UNITED

WLLLLW3–2 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–6 · 0–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Montego Bay United	6	+6	14
2	Racing United	6	+8	13
3	Waterhouse	6	+13	12
4	Tivoli Gardens	6	+7	11
5	Tru-Juice	6	+7	11
6	Chapelton	6	−6	8
7	Cavalier	5	−1	7
8	Molynes United	6	−7	6
9	Portmore United	3	+3	5
10	Arnett Gardens	5	+1	5
11	Mount Pleasant Academy	4	−3	4
12	Dunbeholden	6	−9	3
13	Treasure Beach	5	−4	2
14	Humble Lions	6	−15	2