ISCA v ASEC Mimosas prediction · Ligue 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ISCADrawASEC Mimosas

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · ASEC Mimosas 55%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

ASEC Mimosas are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: ISCA 16%, draw 29%, ASEC Mimosas 55%. Over 2.5 goals 28%, both teams to score 30%.

The AI’s read on ISCA v ASEC MimosasBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

ISCA win16%

Draw29%

ASEC Mimosas win55%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

ISCA

ASEC Mimosas

17Days since last match11

Last match: 12 Oct · Ligue 1 (Ivory Coast)

Last match: 18 Oct · CAF Champions League

0Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	ISCA	3	0	4
16	ASEC Mimosas	3	−1	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · asec mimosas winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

55% The market–

Us55%

We make ASEC Mimosas a 55% chance to win. The model expects 0.5–1.3, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 21%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · ISCA v ASEC Mimosas~~0.54 – 1.29

~~Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 26 Sept~~W1 D1 L1 · W0 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 4 v 2~~9 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
ISCA win	16%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
ASEC Mimosas win	55%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	28%	–	–
Both teams to score	30%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	54%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	12%	–	–
ISCA or draw	45%	–	–
ISCA clean sheet	28%	–	–
ASEC Mimosas clean sheet	59%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 20.8%

0123450 16.1 20.8 13.2 5.8 1 8.9 10.8 7.0 3.1 2 2.4 3.0 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+ISCA down, ASEC Mimosas across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,268 Ligue 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 29.0% of games this season, across 31 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 1.67 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

ISCA at home: 0.50 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). ASEC Mimosas away: 1.67 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.54 goals for ISCA, 1.29 for ASEC Mimosas. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~1.67

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~0 of 3

~~Last meetings~~ASE 1–0 ISC · ISC 0–3 ASE · ISC 0–1 ASE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 26 Sept

ISCA

DWL0–0 · 1–0 · 0–1

ASEC MIMOSAS

LDD0–1 · 0–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	ES Agboville	5	+2	10
2	Stade d'Abidjan	4	+3	8
3	Yamoussoukro	4	+3	8
4	SOA	3	+2	7
5	SOL	5	0	7
6	Zoman	5	−1	7
7	Mouna	5	−1	7
8	San-Pédro	3	+4	6
9	ISCA	3	0	4
10	Adiake	5	−2	4
11	US Tchologo	4	−2	3
12	Bouaké	4	−4	3
13	Korhogo	3	−1	2
14	AFAD	3	−1	2
15	Stella	3	−1	2
16	ASEC Mimosas	3	−1	2