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Vigor Lamezia v Enna

Vigor Lamezia
3–0Full time
Enna

Serie D - Girone I · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43
Vigor Lamezia 3–0 Enna VIGOR LAMEZIA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Vigor Lamezia win59%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.249

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 10 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Vigor Lamezia win at 59%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Vigor Lamezia was 59% before kick-off and our model makes it 59% now. 0–0 · 59–22–18
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Vigor Lamezia v Enna
  4. 5′A goal for Vigor Lamezia on 4′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 81–12–6
  5. 5′We published Vigor Lamezia at 59%. Our model now makes it 81%. 1–0 · 81–12–6
  6. 5′⚽ GOAL · 4' Vigor Lamezia 1–0 Enna
  7. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Vigor Lamezia win: 59% at kick-off, 81% now
  8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 81–14–5
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Vigor Lamezia 1–0 Enna
  10. 46′SECOND HALF Vigor Lamezia 1–0 Enna
  11. 50′Vigor Lamezia score on 50′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 97–3–0
  12. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Vigor Lamezia 2–0 Enna
  13. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Vigor Lamezia win: 59% at kick-off, 97% now
  14. 51′We published Vigor Lamezia at 59%. Our model now makes it 97%. 2–0 · 97–3–0
  15. 54′Vigor Lamezia find the net on 53′. 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  16. 54′We published Vigor Lamezia at 59%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  17. 54′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  18. 54′⚽ GOAL · 53' Vigor Lamezia 3–0 Enna
  19. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Vigor Lamezia win: 59% at kick-off, over 99% now
  20. FTFULL TIME Vigor Lamezia 3–0 Enna
  21. FTVigor Lamezia 3–0 Enna · Vigor Lamezia win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Vigor Lamezia are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Vigor Lamezia 59%, draw 22%, Enna 18%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Vigor Lamezia v EnnaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Vigor Lamezia win59%
Draw22%
Enna win18%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundGroup I · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Vigor Lamezia

Enna

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone I

Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone I

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
15Vigor Lamezia7−95
18Enna7−171

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vigor lamezia winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
59% The market–
Us59%

We make Vigor Lamezia a 59% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Vigor Lamezia v Enna1.95 – 0.97
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone I this season · since 12 SeptW1 D2 L3 · W0 D1 L5
Table places · points 5 v 115 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Vigor Lamezia win59%––
Draw22%––
Enna win18%––
Over 2.5 goals55%––
Both teams to score52%––
Over 1.5 goals78%––
Over 3.5 goals33%––
Vigor Lamezia or draw82%––
Vigor Lamezia clean sheet39%––
Enna clean sheet15%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 10.4%
0123450 6.2 5.2 2.7 1 10.4 10.3 4.9 2 10.0 9.4 4.6 3 6.5 6.1 3.0 4 3.3 3.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Vigor Lamezia down, Enna across0–5 goals a side shown (97.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsENN 0–2 VIG · VIG 3–0 ENN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone I this season · since 12 Sept

VIGOR LAMEZIA

DDLLWL2–2 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 1–4 · 2–0 · 0–3

ENNA

LLDLLL0–3 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 0–3 · 0–3 · 0–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Reggina7+1416
2Sambiase7+616
3Calcio Avola7+115
4Vibonese7+1014
5Licata7+114
6Digiesse PraiaTortora7+812
7Igea Virtus7+211
8Milazzo7−310
9Nissa709
10AC Palermo708
11Siracusa7+67
12CastrumFavara7−17
13Modica7−37
14Gela7−25
15Vigor Lamezia7−95
16Ragusa7−53
17Trapani 19057−81
18Enna7−171

The competition's standings before kick-off.