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Trapani 1905 v CastrumFavara
Trapani 1905CastrumFavaraSerie D - Girone I · SUN 18 OCT · Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Trapani 1905 win at 56%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Trapani 1905 was 56% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 56–25–19
- 1′KICK-OFF Trapani 1905 v CastrumFavara
- 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Trapani 1905 win: 56% at kick-off, 46% now
- 42′We said Trapani 1905 at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–38–18
- 45′HALF-TIME Trapani 1905 0–0 CastrumFavara
- 46′SECOND HALF Trapani 1905 0–0 CastrumFavara
- 52′We said Trapani 1905 at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–44–17
- 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Trapani 1905 win 39%)
- 55′We expected about 2.6 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 38–46–16
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Trapani 1905 win: 56% at kick-off, 36% now
- 60′We said Trapani 1905 at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–50–15
- 66′Trapani 1905 score on 66′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 86–12–2
- 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Trapani 1905 1–0 CastrumFavara
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Trapani 1905 win: 56% at kick-off, 86% now
- 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Trapani 1905 win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Draw 12%)
- 67′We published Trapani 1905 at 56%. Our model now makes it 87%. 1–0 · 87–12–1
- 75′We published Trapani 1905 at 56%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
- 84′We published Trapani 1905 at 56%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Trapani 1905 win: 56% at kick-off, 96% now
- FTFULL TIME Trapani 1905 1–0 CastrumFavara
- FTTrapani 1905 1–0 CastrumFavara · Trapani 1905 win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Trapani 1905 are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Trapani 1905 56%, draw 25%, CastrumFavara 19%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 46%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Trapani 1905 win56%CastrumFavara win19%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00
RoundGroup I · matchday 8
VenueStadio Polisportivo Provinciale
Match timeline
All events
Trapani 1905MINCastrumFavaraEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Trapani 1905
CastrumFavara
Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone I
Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone I
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | CastrumFavara | 7 | −1 | 7 |
| 17 | Trapani 1905 | 7 | −8 | 1 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Trapani 1905 a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trapani 1905 win | 56% | – | – |
| Draw | 25% | – | – |
| CastrumFavara win | 19% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 46% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | – | – |
| Trapani 1905 or draw | 81% | – | – |
| Trapani 1905 clean sheet | 43% | – | – |
| CastrumFavara clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2024/25No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone I this season · since 13 Sept
TRAPANI 1905
CASTRUMFAVARA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Reggina | 7 | +14 | 16 |
| 2 |  Sambiase | 7 | +6 | 16 |
| 3 |  Calcio Avola | 7 | +1 | 15 |
| 4 |  Vibonese | 7 | +10 | 14 |
| 5 |  Licata | 7 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Digiesse PraiaTortora | 7 | +8 | 12 |
| 7 |  Igea Virtus | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 8 |  Milazzo | 7 | −3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Nissa | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  AC Palermo | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 |  Siracusa | 7 | +6 | 7 |
| 12 | CastrumFavara | 7 | −1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Modica | 7 | −3 | 7 |
| 14 |  Gela | 7 | −2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Vigor Lamezia | 7 | −9 | 5 |
| 16 |  Ragusa | 7 | −5 | 3 |
| 17 | Trapani 1905 | 7 | −8 | 1 |
| 18 |  Enna | 7 | −17 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.