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Sambiase v Nissa
SambiaseNissaSerie D - Girone I · SUN 25 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Sambiase are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Sambiase 43%, draw 29%, Nissa 28%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 45%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Sambiase win43%Nissa win28%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:30
RoundGroup I · matchday 9
Match timeline
All events
SambiaseMINNissaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Sambiase
Nissa
Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone I
Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone I
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sambiase | 8 | +6 | 17 |
| 9 | Nissa | 8 | −1 | 9 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Sambiase a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.3–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sambiase win | 43% | 42% | +1 |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | +1 |
| Nissa win | 28% | 30% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 45% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 45% | 51% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 69% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 25% | −5 |
| Sambiase or draw | 72% | 70% | +2 |
| Sambiase clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
| Nissa clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2024/25Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone I this season · since 16 Sept
SAMBIASE
NISSA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Reggina | 8 | +15 | 19 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 8 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 |  Licata | 8 | +2 | 17 |
| 4 |  Calcio Avola | 8 | +1 | 16 |
| 5 |  Vibonese | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Igea Virtus | 8 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Milazzo | 8 | −1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Digiesse PraiaTortora | 8 | +6 | 12 |
| 9 | Nissa | 8 | −1 | 9 |
| 10 |  AC Palermo | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 |  Vigor Lamezia | 8 | −6 | 8 |
| 12 |  Siracusa | 8 | +5 | 7 |
| 13 |  CastrumFavara | 8 | −2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Modica | 7 | −3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Gela | 8 | −2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Trapani 1905 | 8 | −7 | 4 |
| 17 |  Ragusa | 8 | −7 | 3 |
| 18 |  Enna | 8 | −20 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.