Licata v Siracusa

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Siracusa win at 55%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Siracusa was 55% before kick-off and our model makes it 55% now. 0–0 · 21–24–55
3. 1′KICK-OFF Licata v Siracusa
4. 9′Licata find the net on 9′. 1–0. 1–0 · 47–24–29
5. 9′We said Siracusa at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–0 · 47–24–29
6. 9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Licata 1–0 Siracusa
7. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 9' Siracusa win: 55% at kick-off, 29% now
8. 9′THE CALL SWINGS · 9' Licata win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Siracusa win 29%)
9. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Siracusa win: 55% at kick-off, 25% now
10. 23′We said Siracusa at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–0 · 50–26–24
11. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 52–26–22
12. 36′We said Siracusa at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 54–27–19
13. 45′HALF-TIME Licata 2–0 Siracusa
14. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Siracusa win: 55% at kick-off, 15% now
15. 46′SECOND HALF Licata 2–0 Siracusa
16. 47′A goal for Licata on 45′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 85–11–4
17. 47′We said Siracusa at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–0 · 85–11–4
18. 47′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' Licata 2–0 Siracusa
19. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+2' Siracusa win: 55% at kick-off, 4% now
20. 94′Siracusa score on 90′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 98–2–0
21. 94′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 98–2–0
22. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' Licata 2–1 Siracusa
23. FTFULL TIME Licata 2–1 Siracusa
24. FTLicata 2–1 Siracusa · Siracusa win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.