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Model 1.1

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Gela v Milazzo

Gela
1–1Full time
Milazzo

Serie D - Girone I · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47
Gela 1–1 Milazzo GELA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Gela win44%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.748

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 6 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Gela win at 44%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Gela was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–30–26
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Gela v Milazzo
  4. 3′Much as we predicted: Gela was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–30–26
  5. 45′HALF-TIME Gela 0–0 Milazzo
  6. 46′SECOND HALF Gela 0–0 Milazzo
  7. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Gela 1–0 Milazzo
  8. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Gela 1–1 Milazzo
  9. FTFULL TIME Gela 1–1 Milazzo
  10. FTGela 1–1 Milazzo · Gela win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Gela win44%
Draw30%
Milazzo win26%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 15:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Gela

Milazzo

7Days since last match7
2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
9Milazzo6−39
14Gela6−25

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gela winPublished 11 Oct 15:13
44% The market–
Us44%

We make Gela a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Gela win44%––
Draw30%––
Milazzo win26%––
Over 2.5 goals34%––
Both teams to score40%––
Over 1.5 goals61%––
Over 3.5 goals16%––
Gela or draw74%––
Gela clean sheet43%––
Milazzo clean sheet31%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.9%
0123450 13.4 10.6 4.7 1 14.9 13.0 5.5 2 9.1 7.7 3.3 3 3.8 3.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Gela down, Milazzo across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting1.50
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsGEL 1–1 MIL · MIL 1–0 GEL

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone I

GELA

LWLDLD1–2 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 0–0

MILAZZO

LWWLLW0–3 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Reggina6+1415
2Vibonese6+1013
3Sambiase6+513
4Calcio Avola6−112
5Igea Virtus6+311
6Siracusa6+311
7Licata6011
8Digiesse PraiaTortora6+49
9Milazzo6−39
10AC Palermo6+18
11Nissa608
12Modica6+17
13Trapani 19056−76
14Gela6−25
15Vigor Lamezia6−65
16CastrumFavara6−24
17Ragusa6−52
18Enna6−151

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.