Enna v Calcio Avola prediction · Serie D - Girone I

Not gradedCorrected 16 Oct 17:17

Corrected on 16 Oct: this match was first graded on a score of 0–2. It was played on 11 Oct 17:30, more than three hours after the kick-off we published for, so this prediction is not graded and is not in the record’s figures.

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Enna win34%

Draw25%

Calcio Avola win41%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Enna

Calcio Avola

7Days since last match7

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Calcio Avola	6	−1	12
18	Enna	6	−15	1

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · calcio avola winPublished 11 Oct 17:22

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Calcio Avola a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Enna win	34%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Calcio Avola win	41%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Enna or draw	59%	–	–
Enna clean sheet	23%	–	–
Calcio Avola clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 6.5 8.6 6.5 3.4 1 7.8 11.6 8.3 4.3 2 5.3 7.5 5.5 2.8 3 2.4 3.4 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Enna down, Calcio Avola across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,642 Serie D - Girone I matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Serie D - Girone I matches have gone over 2.5 in 46.3% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Enna at home: 0.67 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Calcio Avola away: 1.00 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.34 goals for Enna, 1.52 for Calcio Avola. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone I

ENNA

LLLDLL0–5 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 0–3 · 0–3

CALCIO AVOLA

LWLWWW2–4 · 1–0 · 0–4 · 4–2 · 1–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Reggina	6	+14	15
2	Vibonese	6	+10	13
3	Sambiase	6	+5	13
4	Calcio Avola	6	−1	12
5	Igea Virtus	6	+3	11
6	Siracusa	6	+3	11
7	Licata	6	0	11
8	Digiesse PraiaTortora	6	+4	9
9	Milazzo	6	−3	9
10	AC Palermo	6	+1	8
11	Nissa	6	0	8
12	Modica	6	+1	7
13	Trapani 1905	6	−7	6
14	Gela	6	−2	5
15	Vigor Lamezia	6	−6	5
16	CastrumFavara	6	−2	4
17	Ragusa	6	−5	2
18	Enna	6	−15	1