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Digiesse PraiaTortora v Modica

Digiesse PraiaTortora
5–1Full time
Modica

Serie D - Girone I · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47
Digiesse PraiaTortora 5–1 Modica DIGIESSE PRAIATORTORA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Digiesse PraiaTortora win47%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.424

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 2 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Digiesse PraiaTortora win at 47%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Digiesse PraiaTortora v Modica
  3. 3′Much as we predicted: Digiesse PraiaTortora was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–29–25
  4. 5′Much as we predicted: Digiesse PraiaTortora was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–29–25
  5. FTFULL TIME Digiesse PraiaTortora 5–1 Modica
  6. FTDigiesse PraiaTortora 5–1 Modica · Digiesse PraiaTortora win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

The match pulse

FULL TIME

Match outcome probability (%)

Digiesse PraiaTortoraDrawModica
Our model, re-priced from the score and the clock at every minuteFull time
Full time · Digiesse PraiaTortora 5–1 Modica

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Digiesse PraiaTortora

Modica

7Days since last match7
2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
8Digiesse PraiaTortora6+49
12Modica6+17

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Digiesse PraiaTortora win47%
Draw28%
Modica win25%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · digiesse praiatortora winPublished 11 Oct 17:22
47% The market–
Us47%

We make Digiesse PraiaTortora a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Digiesse PraiaTortora win47%––
Draw28%––
Modica win25%––
Over 2.5 goals38%––
Both teams to score43%––
Over 1.5 goals65%––
Over 3.5 goals19%––
Digiesse PraiaTortora or draw75%––
Digiesse PraiaTortora clean sheet42%––
Modica clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.2%
0123450 11.6 9.4 4.3 1 14.2 12.6 5.5 2 9.5 8.1 3.6 3 4.4 3.7 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Digiesse PraiaTortora down, Modica across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone I

DIGIESSE PRAIATORTORA

WDDDWL5–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 0–2

MODICA

DLLWLW2–2 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Reggina6+1415
2Vibonese6+1013
3Sambiase6+513
4Calcio Avola6−112
5Igea Virtus6+311
6Siracusa6+311
7Licata6011
8Digiesse PraiaTortora6+49
9Milazzo6−39
10AC Palermo6+18
11Nissa608
12Modica6+17
13Trapani 19056−76
14Gela6−25
15Vigor Lamezia6−65
16CastrumFavara6−24
17Ragusa6−52
18Enna6−151

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-11 16:20 UTC.