Calcio Avola v Sambiase

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Calcio Avola win at 39%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Calcio Avola was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 39–29–33
3. 1′KICK-OFF Calcio Avola v Sambiase
4. 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Calcio Avola win 33%)
5. 45′HALF-TIME Calcio Avola 0–0 Sambiase
6. 46′SECOND HALF Calcio Avola 0–0 Sambiase
7. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+4' Calcio Avola win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
8. 54′We said Calcio Avola at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 0–0 · 27–49–24
9. 61′We said Calcio Avola at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–54–21
10. 70′We said Calcio Avola at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–64–17
11. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Calcio Avola win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
12. 77′We said Calcio Avola at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–73–13
13. 82′We said Calcio Avola at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–82–8
14. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Calcio Avola win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
15. 85′A goal for Sambiase on 85′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 7–87–6
16. 85′Goals are coming at about the 2.3 we expected. 1–1 · 7–87–6
17. 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Calcio Avola 1–1 Sambiase
18. 89′We said Calcio Avola at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
19. FTFULL TIME Calcio Avola 1–1 Sambiase
20. FTCalcio Avola 1–1 Sambiase · Calcio Avola win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.