Real Forio 2014 v Turris prediction · Serie D

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 17:17

Real Forio 2014 1–2 Turris REAL FORIO 2014 WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Real Forio 2014 win~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.648

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 4 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Real Forio 2014 win at 38%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Real Forio 2014 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 38–27–34
1′KICK-OFF Real Forio 2014 v Turris
39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Real Forio 2014 win 32%)
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+8' Real Forio 2014 win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.6 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 28–47–26
58′We said Real Forio 2014 at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 26%. 0–0 · 26–49–25
63′We said Real Forio 2014 at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–53–22
FTFULL TIME Real Forio 2014 1–2 Turris
FTReal Forio 2014 1–2 Turris · Real Forio 2014 win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Real Forio 2014 just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Real Forio 2014 38%, draw 27%, Turris 35%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Real Forio 2014 v TurrisBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Real Forio 2014 win38%

Draw27%

Turris win35%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundGroup H · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Real Forio 2014

Turris

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone H

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Turris	7	+7	15
12	Real Forio 2014	7	−2	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · real forio 2014 winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Real Forio 2014 a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Real Forio 2014 v Turris~~1.33 – 1.25

~~Form · last six in Serie D - Girone H this season · since 13 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W3 D3 L0

~~Table places · points 7 v 15~~12 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Real Forio 2014 win	38%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Turris win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Real Forio 2014 or draw	65%	–	–
Real Forio 2014 clean sheet	29%	–	–
Turris clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.8%

0123450 8.3 9.1 6.0 2.5 1 9.7 12.8 7.7 3.3 2 6.7 8.2 5.1 2.2 3 3.0 3.7 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Real Forio 2014 down, Turris across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,674 Serie D - Girone H matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Serie D - Girone H matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.2% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Real Forio 2014 at home: 2.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 3). Turris away: 1.00 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.33 goals for Real Forio 2014, 1.25 for Turris. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone H this season · since 13 Sept

REAL FORIO 2014

LWDLLL0–2 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 0–2

TURRIS

DDWWDW0–0 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Virtus Francavilla	7	+6	18
2	Martina Franca	7	+7	15
3	Turris	7	+7	15
4	Bisceglie	8	+5	15
5	Nocerina	7	+3	13
6	Gravina	7	+5	12
7	Brindisi	7	+1	12
8	Manfredonia	7	+1	11
9	Real Normanna	7	−1	10
10	Gladiator	7	−2	8
11	Ebolitana	7	−4	8
12	Real Forio 2014	7	−2	7
13	USD Palmese	7	−4	7
14	Fidelis Andria	7	−4	7
15	Melfi	8	−6	7
16	Ischia	7	−2	5
17	Francavilla	7	−4	4
18	Nardò	7	−6	4