Melfi v USD Palmese

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Melfi win at 41%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Melfi 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–27–32
3. 1′KICK-OFF Melfi v USD Palmese
4. 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Melfi win 36%)
5. 43′A goal for USD Palmese on 43′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 33–40–27
6. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Melfi 1–1 USD Palmese
7. 45′HALF-TIME Melfi 1–1 USD Palmese
8. 46′SECOND HALF Melfi 1–1 USD Palmese
9. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Melfi win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
10. 54′We said Melfi at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–46–24
11. 56′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 1–1 · 29–48–24
12. 65′We said Melfi at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–56–20
13. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Melfi win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
14. 73′We said Melfi at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–65–16
15. 78′We said Melfi at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–73–12
16. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Melfi win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
17. 83′We said Melfi at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–83–8
18. 90′We said Melfi at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
19. FTFULL TIME Melfi 2–2 USD Palmese
20. FTMelfi 2–2 USD Palmese · Melfi win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.