Gladiator v Real Normanna

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Gladiator win at 41%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Gladiator 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–28–31
3. 1′KICK-OFF Gladiator v Real Normanna
4. 8′Gladiator find the net on 7′. 1–0. 1–0 · 69–19–12
5. 8′We said Gladiator at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 69%. 1–0 · 69–19–12
6. 8′⚽ GOAL · 7' Gladiator 1–0 Real Normanna
7. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Gladiator win: 41% at kick-off, 69% now
8. 11′We said Gladiator at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–19–12
9. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Gladiator win: 41% at kick-off, 71% now
10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 71–20–9
11. 46′A goal for Real Normanna on 45′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 32–42–26
12. 46′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 32–42–26
13. 46′⚽ GOAL · 45+13' Gladiator 1–1 Real Normanna
14. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Gladiator win: 41% at kick-off, 32% now
15. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Gladiator win 32%)
16. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Gladiator win: 41% at kick-off, 32% now
17. 48′We said Gladiator at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–19–6 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
18. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Gladiator win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
19. 54′We said Gladiator at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–47–24 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
20. 65′We said Gladiator at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–56–20 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
21. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Gladiator win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
22. 72′We said Gladiator at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–65–16 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
23. 78′We said Gladiator at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–74–12 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
24. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Gladiator win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
25. 83′We said Gladiator at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–83–8 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
26. 86′A goal for Real Normanna on 86′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 94–6–0 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
27. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Gladiator 3–2 Real Normanna
28. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Gladiator win: 41% at kick-off, 94% now
29. 86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Gladiator win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 6%)
30. 87′We said Gladiator at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
31. 87′5 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 95–5–0 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
32. 105′Real Normanna score on 90′ to make it 3–3. 3–3 · 1–97–1
33. 105′⚽ GOAL · 90+15' Gladiator 3–3 Real Normanna
34. 105′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+15' Gladiator win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
35. 105′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+15' Draw is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Gladiator win 1%)
36. FTFULL TIME Gladiator 3–3 Real Normanna
37. FTGladiator 3–3 Real Normanna · Gladiator win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.