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Model 1.2

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Bisceglie v Brindisi

Bisceglie
17:00Upcoming
Brindisi

Serie D - Girone H · SUN 25 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

BisceglieDrawBrindisi
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Bisceglie 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bisceglie are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bisceglie 43%, draw 27%, Brindisi 30%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Bisceglie v BrindisiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Bisceglie win43%
Draw27%
Brindisi win30%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 17:00

RoundGroup H · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bisceglie

Brindisi

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Serie D - Girone H

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone H

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Bisceglie8+515
5Brindisi8+315

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bisceglie winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
43% The market46%
Us43%
Market46%

We make Bisceglie a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 46%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Bisceglie v Brindisi1.47 – 1.19
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone H this season · since 16 SeptW3 D0 L3 · W4 D0 L2
Table places · points 15 v 154 v 5
The market · Bisceglie win46% · ours 43%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 19 OCT 01:3724 OCT 23:41
Our probability · Bisceglie win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Bisceglie win43%46%−3
Draw27%28%−1
Brindisi win30%26%+4
Over 2.5 goals49%––
Both teams to score52%––
Over 1.5 goals74%––
Over 3.5 goals28%––
Bisceglie or draw70%74%−4
Bisceglie clean sheet32%––
Brindisi clean sheet24%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.3%
0123450 8.1 8.0 5.0 2.0 1 10.0 12.3 6.9 2.8 2 7.6 8.5 5.0 2.0 3 3.8 4.2 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Bisceglie down, Brindisi across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsBIS 0–2 BRI · BRI 0–0 BIS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone H this season · since 16 Sept

BISCEGLIE

LWWLWL1–2 · 3–1 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 3–2 · 0–1

BRINDISI

LLWWWW1–2 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Martina Franca8+918
2Turris8+818
3Virtus Francavilla8+518
4Bisceglie8+515
5Brindisi8+315
6Manfredonia8+314
7Gravina8+513
8Nocerina8+113
9Real Normanna8−111
10USD Palmese8−210
11Fidelis Andria8−310
12Gladiator8−29
13Ebolitana8−68
14Real Forio 20148−37
15Melfi8−67
16Ischia8−45
17Francavilla8−45
18Nardò8−84

The competition's standings before kick-off.