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Sarrabus Ogliastra v Gelbison
Sarrabus OgliastraGelbisonSerie D - Girone G · SUN 25 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Gelbison are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Sarrabus Ogliastra 33%, draw 26%, Gelbison 41%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Sarrabus Ogliastra win33%Gelbison win41%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:30
RoundGroup G · matchday 9
Match timeline
All events
Sarrabus OgliastraMINGelbisonEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Gelbison
Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone G
Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone G
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Gelbison | 8 | −3 | 10 |
| 16 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 8 | −4 | 6 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Gelbison a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 37% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sarrabus Ogliastra win | 33% | 33% | 0 |
| Draw | 26% | 30% | −4 |
| Gelbison win | 41% | 37% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 49% | +5 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 53% | +5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 72% | +6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 30% | +2 |
| Sarrabus Ogliastra or draw | 59% | 63% | −4 |
| Sarrabus Ogliastra clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
| Gelbison clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone G this season · since 16 Sept
SARRABUS OGLIASTRA
GELBISON
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sarnese | 8 | +7 | 20 |
| 2 |  Monastir | 8 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 |  Certosa V. Campagnano | 8 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Trastevere | 8 | −3 | 14 |
| 5 |  Paganese | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 6 |  Unipomezia | 8 | +4 | 12 |
| 7 |  Ossese | 8 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Albalonga | 8 | +2 | 12 |
| 9 |  Aranova | 8 | +2 | 12 |
| 10 |  Anzio | 8 | +2 | 12 |
| 11 |  Afragolese | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 12 |  Città di Anagni | 8 | −2 | 10 |
| 13 | Gelbison | 8 | −3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Venafro | 8 | −5 | 8 |
| 15 |  Budoni | 8 | −8 | 7 |
| 16 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 8 | −4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Latte Dolce | 8 | −5 | 6 |
| 18 |  Atletico Lodigiani | 8 | −14 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.