Ossese v Budoni prediction · Serie D - Girone G

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

OsseseDrawBudoni

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Ossese 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ossese are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ossese 50%, draw 28%, Budoni 22%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Ossese v BudoniBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Ossese win50%

Draw28%

Budoni win22%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:30

RoundGroup G · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ossese

Budoni

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone G

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Ossese	8	+3	12
15	Budoni	8	−8	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ossese winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Ossese a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Ossese v Budoni~~1.49 – 0.91

~~Form · last six in Serie D - Girone G this season · since 16 Sept~~W1 D3 L2 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 12 v 7~~7 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ossese win	50%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Budoni win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	46%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	69%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Ossese or draw	78%	–	–
Ossese clean sheet	41%	–	–
Budoni clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.9%

0123450 10.0 7.7 3.8 1 12.9 12.8 5.5 2 10.0 8.9 4.1 3 5.0 4.5 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ossese down, Budoni across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,609 Serie D - Girone G matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Serie D - Girone G matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.2% of games this season, across 73 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Ossese at home: 1.75 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 4). Budoni away: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.49 goals for Ossese, 0.91 for Budoni. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone G this season · since 16 Sept

OSSESE

DLDWDL1–1 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 1–2

BUDONI

LWWLLL1–2 · 2–0 · 3–2 · 1–5 · 0–3 · 2–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sarnese	8	+7	20
2	Monastir	9	+8	17
3	Certosa V. Campagnano	8	+7	16
4	Trastevere	9	−3	15
5	Paganese	8	+7	13
6	Unipomezia	8	+4	12
7	Ossese	8	+3	12
8	Albalonga	8	+2	12
9	Aranova	8	+2	12
10	Anzio	8	+2	12
11	Afragolese	8	+2	10
12	Città di Anagni	8	−2	10
13	Gelbison	8	−3	10
14	Venafro	8	−5	8
15	Budoni	8	−8	7
16	Sarrabus Ogliastra	8	−4	6
17	Latte Dolce	8	−5	6
18	Atletico Lodigiani	8	−14	1