Monastir v Trastevere

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Monastir win at 50%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Monastir was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–23–28
3. 1′KICK-OFF Monastir v Trastevere
4. 19′A goal for Monastir on 19′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 73–16–11
5. 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Monastir 1–0 Trastevere
6. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Monastir win: 50% at kick-off, 73% now
7. 20′We published Monastir at 50%. Our model now makes it 73%. 1–0 · 73–16–11
8. 30′Trastevere score on 29′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 45–28–27
9. 30′⚽ GOAL · 29' Monastir 1–1 Trastevere
10. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Monastir win: 50% at kick-off, 45% now
11. 43′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 1–1 · 41–33–26
12. 43′Monastir find the net on 43′. 2–1. 2–1 · 74–18–8
13. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Monastir 2–1 Trastevere
14. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Monastir win: 50% at kick-off, 74% now
15. 45′HALF-TIME Monastir 2–1 Trastevere
16. 46′We published Monastir at 50%. Our model now makes it 75%. 2–1 · 75–18–7
17. 46′SECOND HALF Monastir 2–1 Trastevere
18. 56′A goal for Trastevere on 56′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 36–40–24
19. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Monastir 2–2 Trastevere
20. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Monastir win: 50% at kick-off, 36% now
21. 57′We said Monastir at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 2–2 · 36–41–23
22. 57′4 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 36–41–23
23. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Monastir win 76%)
24. 60′We said Monastir at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–43–23
25. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Monastir win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
26. 68′We said Monastir at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–51–20
27. 74′We said Monastir at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–60–17
28. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Monastir win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
29. 79′We said Monastir at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 2–2 · 18–69–13
30. 82′We said Monastir at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–76–10
31. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Monastir win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
32. 87′We said Monastir at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–85–6
33. 92′We said Monastir at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–3
34. FTFULL TIME Monastir 2–2 Trastevere
35. FTMonastir 2–2 Trastevere · Monastir win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.