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Latte Dolce v Anzio

Latte Dolce
1–1Full time
Anzio

Serie D - Girone G · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43
Latte Dolce 1–1 Anzio LATTE DOLCE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Latte Dolce win43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.808

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 13 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Latte Dolce win at 43%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Latte Dolce 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–27–30
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Latte Dolce v Anzio
  4. 45′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 11–24–66
  5. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Latte Dolce win 34%)
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Latte Dolce 0–1 Anzio
  7. 46′Anzio score on 45′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 10–24–66
  8. 46′⚽ GOAL · 45' Latte Dolce 0–1 Anzio
  9. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Latte Dolce win: 43% at kick-off, 10% now
  10. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Anzio win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Draw 24%)
  11. 46′SECOND HALF Latte Dolce 0–1 Anzio
  12. 47′We said Latte Dolce at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 0–1 · 10–24–66
  13. 50′We said Latte Dolce at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–67
  14. 67′We said Latte Dolce at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
  15. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Latte Dolce win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
  16. 83′Latte Dolce find the net on 83′. 1–1. 1–1 · 10–82–8
  17. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Latte Dolce 1–1 Anzio
  18. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Latte Dolce win: 43% at kick-off, 10% now
  19. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Draw is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Anzio win 8%)
  20. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Latte Dolce win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
  21. FTFULL TIME Latte Dolce 1–1 Anzio
  22. FTLatte Dolce 1–1 Anzio · Latte Dolce win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Latte Dolce are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Latte Dolce 43%, draw 27%, Anzio 30%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Latte Dolce v AnzioBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Latte Dolce win43%
Draw27%
Anzio win30%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundGroup G · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Latte Dolce

Anzio

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone G

Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone G

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
7Anzio7+211
16Latte Dolce7−55

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · latte dolce winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Latte Dolce a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Latte Dolce v Anzio1.48 – 1.21
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone G this season · since 12 SeptW1 D2 L3 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 5 v 1116 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Latte Dolce win43%––
Draw27%––
Anzio win30%––
Over 2.5 goals50%––
Both teams to score54%––
Over 1.5 goals75%––
Over 3.5 goals28%––
Latte Dolce or draw70%––
Latte Dolce clean sheet30%––
Anzio clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.8%
0123450 7.7 7.6 5.0 2.0 1 9.4 12.8 7.3 2.9 2 7.5 8.9 5.3 2.2 3 3.7 4.4 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Latte Dolce down, Anzio across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24
Goals a meeting2.17
Over 2.52 of 6
Both scored3 of 6
Last meetingsLAT 1–0 ANZ · ANZ 2–0 LAT · LAT 1–1 ANZ · ANZ 2–1 LAT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone G this season · since 12 Sept

LATTE DOLCE

LDLDWL2–3 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–2

ANZIO

LWLWWD0–1 · 3–1 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Sarnese7+617
2Monastir7+916
3Paganese7+813
4Certosa V. Campagnano7+613
5Unipomezia7+512
6Ossese7+412
7Anzio7+211
8Trastevere7−411
9Afragolese8+210
10Città di Anagni7−110
11Aranova7+19
12Albalonga709
13Gelbison7−47
14Budoni7−67
15Sarrabus Ogliastra7−36
16Latte Dolce7−55
17Venafro7−65
18Atletico Lodigiani8−141

The competition's standings before kick-off.