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Città di Anagni v Paganese
Città di AnagniPaganeseSerie D - Girone G · SUN 25 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Paganese are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Città di Anagni 32%, draw 28%, Paganese 40%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Città di Anagni win32%Paganese win40%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:30
RoundGroup G · matchday 9
Match timeline
All events
Città di AnagniMINPaganeseEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Città di Anagni
Paganese
Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone G
Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone G
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Paganese | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 12 | Città di Anagni | 8 | −2 | 10 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Paganese a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 45% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Città di Anagni win | 32% | 27% | +5 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 0 |
| Paganese win | 40% | 45% | −5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 49% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 52% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 72% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 29% | −4 |
| Città di Anagni or draw | 60% | 55% | +5 |
| Città di Anagni clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
| Paganese clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone G this season · since 16 Sept
CITTÀ DI ANAGNI
PAGANESE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sarnese | 8 | +7 | 20 |
| 2 |  Monastir | 8 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 |  Certosa V. Campagnano | 8 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Trastevere | 8 | −3 | 14 |
| 5 | Paganese | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 6 |  Unipomezia | 8 | +4 | 12 |
| 7 |  Ossese | 8 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Albalonga | 8 | +2 | 12 |
| 9 |  Aranova | 8 | +2 | 12 |
| 10 |  Anzio | 8 | +2 | 12 |
| 11 |  Afragolese | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 12 | Città di Anagni | 8 | −2 | 10 |
| 13 |  Gelbison | 8 | −3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Venafro | 8 | −5 | 8 |
| 15 |  Budoni | 8 | −8 | 7 |
| 16 |  Sarrabus Ogliastra | 8 | −4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Latte Dolce | 8 | −5 | 6 |
| 18 |  Atletico Lodigiani | 8 | −14 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.