Anzio v Unipomezia prediction · Serie D - Girone G

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:56

Anzio 0–0 Unipomezia UNIPOMEZIA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Unipomezia win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.797

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 4 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Unipomezia win at 41%.
1′KICK-OFF Anzio v Unipomezia
2′Little has changed for our model: Unipomezia 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 32–27–41
4′Little has changed for our model: Unipomezia 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 32–27–41
45′HALF-TIME Anzio 0–0 Unipomezia
46′SECOND HALF Anzio 0–0 Unipomezia
FTFULL TIME Anzio 0–0 Unipomezia
FTAnzio 0–0 Unipomezia · Unipomezia win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Anzio win32%

Draw27%

Unipomezia win41%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Anzio

Unipomezia

7Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Unipomezia	6	+5	11
8	Anzio	6	+2	10

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · unipomezia winPublished 11 Oct 14:09

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Unipomezia a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Anzio win	32%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Unipomezia win	41%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Anzio or draw	59%	–	–
Anzio clean sheet	25%	–	–
Unipomezia clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%

0123450 8.2 9.9 7.3 3.4 1 8.4 12.9 8.5 4.0 2 5.4 7.3 5.1 2.4 3 2.2 3.0 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Anzio down, Unipomezia across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,590 Serie D - Girone G matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Serie D - Girone G matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.4% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Anzio at home: 1.50 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Unipomezia away: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.20 goals for Anzio, 1.40 for Unipomezia. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone G

ANZIO

DLWLWW0–0 · 0–1 · 3–1 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 2–0

UNIPOMEZIA

LDWWDW1–2 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sarnese	6	+5	14
2	Monastir	6	+8	13
3	Certosa V. Campagnano	6	+6	12
4	Unipomezia	6	+5	11
5	Ossese	6	+4	11
6	Trastevere	6	−2	11
7	Paganese	6	+5	10
8	Anzio	6	+2	10
9	Albalonga	6	0	8
10	Gelbison	6	−2	7
11	Budoni	6	−3	7
12	Città di Anagni	6	−3	7
13	Aranova	6	−1	6
14	Afragolese	6	−2	6
15	Sarrabus Ogliastra	6	−3	5
16	Latte Dolce	6	−4	5
17	Venafro	6	−6	4
18	Atletico Lodigiani	6	−9	1