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Afragolese v Atletico Lodigiani
Afragolese
Atletico LodigianiSerie D - Girone G · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Afragolese win at 46%.
- 21′A goal for Afragolese on 1′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 74–17–9
- 22′We said Afragolese at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 1–0 · 74–18–8
- 29′We said Afragolese at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–18–8
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 75–18–8
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Afragolese win: 46% at kick-off, 76% now
- 45′A goal for Afragolese on 1′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 77–18–6
- 45′We said Afragolese at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 1–0 · 77–18–6
- 45′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 77–18–6
- 45′HALF-TIME Afragolese 1–0 Atletico Lodigiani
- 58′Afragolese score on 46′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 96–3–0
- 58′We said Afragolese at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 2–0 · 96–3–0
- 58′⚽ GOAL · 46' Afragolese 2–0 Atletico Lodigiani
- 58′SECOND HALF Afragolese 2–0 Atletico Lodigiani
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Afragolese win: 46% at kick-off, 96% now
- 65′Afragolese find the net on 64′. 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 65′⚽ GOAL · 64' Afragolese 3–0 Atletico Lodigiani
- 66′We said Afragolese at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 66′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 97′A goal for Afragolese on 90′ — 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 97′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' Afragolese 4–0 Atletico Lodigiani
- FTFULL TIME Afragolese 4–0 Atletico Lodigiani
- FTAfragolese 4–0 Atletico Lodigiani · Afragolese win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassAfragolese are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Afragolese 46%, draw 27%, Atletico Lodigiani 27%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Afragolese win46%
Atletico Lodigiani win27%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00
RoundGroup G · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
AfragoleseMIN
Atletico LodigianiEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Afragolese
Atletico Lodigiani
Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone G
Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone G
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Afragolese a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afragolese win | 46% | – | – |
| Draw | 27% | – | – |
| Atletico Lodigiani win | 27% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 51% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | – | – |
| Afragolese or draw | 73% | – | – |
| Afragolese clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
| Atletico Lodigiani clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2024/25No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone G this season · since 12 Sept
AFRAGOLESE
ATLETICO LODIGIANI
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarnese | 7 | +6 | 17 |
| 2 | Monastir | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 | Paganese | 7 | +8 | 13 |
| 4 | Certosa V. Campagnano | 7 | +6 | 13 |
| 5 | Unipomezia | 7 | +5 | 12 |
| 6 | Ossese | 7 | +4 | 12 |
| 7 | Anzio | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 8 | Trastevere | 7 | −4 | 11 |
| 9 | Città di Anagni | 7 | −1 | 10 |
| 10 | Aranova | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 | Albalonga | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Afragolese | 7 | −2 | 7 |
| 13 | Gelbison | 7 | −4 | 7 |
| 14 | Budoni | 7 | −6 | 7 |
| 15 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 7 | −3 | 6 |
| 16 | Latte Dolce | 7 | −5 | 5 |
| 17 | Venafro | 7 | −6 | 5 |
| 18 | Atletico Lodigiani | 7 | −10 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Sarnese
Monastir
Paganese
Certosa V. Campagnano
Unipomezia
Ossese
Anzio
Trastevere
Città di Anagni
Aranova
Albalonga
Gelbison
Budoni
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Latte Dolce
Venafro