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Teramo v Termoli Calcio

Teramo
1–0Full time
Termoli Calcio

Serie D - Girone F · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43
Teramo 1–0 Termoli Calcio TERAMO WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Teramo win58%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.264

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Teramo win at 58%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Teramo 58% before kick-off, 58% now. 0–0 · 58–26–16
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Teramo v Termoli Calcio
  4. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Teramo win: 58% at kick-off, 48% now
  5. 41′We said Teramo at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 46%. 0–0 · 46–38–16
  6. 45′We said Teramo at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–40–15
  7. 45′HALF-TIME Teramo 0–0 Termoli Calcio
  8. 46′SECOND HALF Teramo 0–0 Termoli Calcio
  9. 53′Teramo find the net on 52′. 1–0. 1–0 · 85–12–2
  10. 53′We said Teramo at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–12–2
  11. 53′⚽ GOAL · 52' Teramo 1–0 Termoli Calcio
  12. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Teramo win: 58% at kick-off, 85% now
  13. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Teramo win: 58% at kick-off, 88% now
  14. 72′We said Teramo at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
  15. 83′We said Teramo at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  16. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Teramo win: 58% at kick-off, 98% now
  17. FTFULL TIME Teramo 1–0 Termoli Calcio
  18. FTTeramo 1–0 Termoli Calcio · Teramo win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Teramo are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Teramo 58%, draw 26%, Termoli Calcio 16%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Teramo v Termoli CalcioBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Teramo win58%
Draw26%
Termoli Calcio win16%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundGroup F · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Teramo

Termoli Calcio

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone F

Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone F

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Teramo7+816
8Termoli Calcio7010

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · teramo winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
58% The market–
Us58%

We make Teramo a 58% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Teramo v Termoli Calcio1.69 – 0.76
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone F this season · since 12 SeptW4 D1 L1 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 16 v 102 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Teramo win58%––
Draw26%––
Termoli Calcio win16%––
Over 2.5 goals44%––
Both teams to score44%––
Over 1.5 goals71%––
Over 3.5 goals23%––
Teramo or draw84%––
Teramo clean sheet47%––
Termoli Calcio clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.7%
0123450 10.0 5.7 2.5 1 13.7 11.9 4.1 2 12.2 9.1 3.4 3 6.9 5.1 4 3.0 2.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Teramo down, Termoli Calcio across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.52 of 5
Both scored3 of 5
Last meetingsTeramo 0–0 Termoli Calcio · Termoli Calcio 0–0 Teramo · Teramo 4–1 Termoli Calcio · Termoli Calcio 1–2 Teramo

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone F this season · since 12 Sept

TERAMO

DWWLWW2–2 · 3–1 · 3–2 · 0–2 · 6–4 · 2–0

TERMOLI CALCIO

WDLLWW1–0 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1L'Aquila7+1117
2Teramo7+816
3Foligno Calcio7+316
4Ancona7+514
5Vigor Senigallia7+313
6Notaresco7+111
7Lanciano FC7+310
8Termoli Calcio7010
9Atletico Ascoli7−110
10Fossombrone7−410
11Santegidiese7−28
12Montecchio Gallo7−28
13Pietralunga8−48
14Real Giulianova7−17
15Maceratese7−47
16Recanatese7−26
17Angelana7−54
18Sporting Trestina8−94

The competition's standings before kick-off.