Real Giulianova v Pietralunga prediction · Serie D

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Real GiulianovaDrawPietralunga

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Real Giulianova 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Real Giulianova are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Real Giulianova 48%, draw 30%, Pietralunga 22%. Over 2.5 goals 37%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on Real Giulianova v PietralungaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Real Giulianova win48%

Draw30%

Pietralunga win22%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup F · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Real Giulianova

Pietralunga

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone F

Last match: 17 Oct · Serie D - Girone F

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Real Giulianova	8	0	10
14	Pietralunga	8	−4	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · real giulianova winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Real Giulianova a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Real Giulianova v Pietralunga~~1.35 – 0.83

~~Form · last six in Serie D - Girone F this season · since 16 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 10 v 8~~10 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Real Giulianova win	48%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Pietralunga win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	37%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	65%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	18%	–	–
Real Giulianova or draw	78%	–	–
Real Giulianova clean sheet	44%	–	–
Pietralunga clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.2%

0123450 12.7 8.4 3.9 1 14.2 13.4 5.2 2 10.2 8.3 3.4 3 4.7 3.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Real Giulianova down, Pietralunga across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,607 Serie D - Girone F matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Serie D - Girone F matches have gone over 2.5 in 45.8% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Real Giulianova at home: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Pietralunga away: 0.75 scored, 0.75 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.35 goals for Real Giulianova, 0.83 for Pietralunga. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone F this season · since 16 Sept

REAL GIULIANOVA

DLWWLW0–0 · 2–3 · 4–2 · 3–1 · 0–2 · 1–0

PIETRALUNGA

LLDLWW1–2 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 1–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	L'Aquila	8	+12	20
2	Teramo	8	+9	19
3	Vigor Senigallia	8	+5	16
4	Foligno Calcio	8	+2	16
5	Notaresco	8	+4	14
6	Ancona	8	+4	14
7	Atletico Ascoli	8	+3	13
8	Fossombrone	8	−3	13
9	Montecchio Gallo	8	0	11
10	Real Giulianova	8	0	10
11	Lanciano FC	8	−1	10
12	Termoli Calcio	8	−1	10
13	Santegidiese	8	−4	8
14	Pietralunga	8	−4	8
15	Maceratese	8	−7	7
16	Recanatese	8	−3	6
17	Angelana	8	−7	4
18	Sporting Trestina	8	−9	4