Notaresco v Maceratese

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Notaresco win at 47%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Notaresco 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–29–24
3. 1′KICK-OFF Notaresco v Maceratese
4. 3′Maceratese score on 3′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 24–23–53
5. 3′We said Notaresco at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–23–53
6. 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Notaresco 0–1 Maceratese
7. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Notaresco win: 47% at kick-off, 24% now
8. 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Maceratese win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Notaresco win 24%)
9. 12′Maceratese find the net on 11′. 0–2. 0–2 · 8–14–79
10. 12′We said Notaresco at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 0–2 · 8–14–79
11. 12′⚽ GOAL · 11' Notaresco 0–2 Maceratese
12. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Notaresco win: 47% at kick-off, 8% now
13. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Notaresco win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
14. 33′We said Notaresco at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–11–85
15. 45′HALF-TIME Notaresco 0–2 Maceratese
16. 46′SECOND HALF Notaresco 0–2 Maceratese
17. 48′A goal for Notaresco on 47′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 11–25–64
18. 48′We said Notaresco at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 11%. 1–2 · 11–25–64
19. 48′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 11–25–64
20. 48′⚽ GOAL · 47' Notaresco 1–2 Maceratese
21. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Notaresco win: 47% at kick-off, 11% now
22. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Notaresco win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
23. 60′Notaresco score on 60′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 30–52–18
24. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Notaresco 2–2 Maceratese
25. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Notaresco win: 47% at kick-off, 30% now
26. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Maceratese win 18%)
27. 61′We said Notaresco at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–53–18
28. 61′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 29–53–18
29. 75′Notaresco find the net on 75′. 3–2. 3–2 · 88–11–1
30. 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Notaresco 3–2 Maceratese
31. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Notaresco win: 47% at kick-off, 88% now
32. 75′THE CALL SWINGS · 75' Notaresco win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
33. 76′We said Notaresco at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 3–2 · 89–10–1
34. 76′5 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 89–10–1
35. 78′We said Notaresco at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 3–2 · 90–9–1
36. 82′A goal for Notaresco on 82′ — 4–2. 4–2 · 100–0–0
37. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Notaresco 4–2 Maceratese
38. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Notaresco win: 47% at kick-off, over 99% now
39. 83′We said Notaresco at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
40. 83′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 100–0–0
41. 91′Notaresco score on 90′ to make it 5–2. 5–2 · 100–0–0
42. 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Notaresco 5–2 Maceratese
43. 92′7 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 5–2 · 100–0–0
44. FTFULL TIME Notaresco 5–2 Maceratese
45. FTNotaresco 5–2 Maceratese · Notaresco win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.