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Model 1.2

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Terranuova Traiana v Scandicci

Terranuova Traiana
1–0Full time
Scandicci

Serie D - Girone E · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43
Terranuova Traiana 1–0 Scandicci SCANDICCI WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Scandicci win35%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.657

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 8 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Scandicci win at 35%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Scandicci 35% before kick-off, 34% now. 0–0 · 34–32–34
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Terranuova Traiana v Scandicci
  4. 23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Terranuova Traiana win 31%)
  5. 45′HALF-TIME Terranuova Traiana 0–0 Scandicci
  6. 46′SECOND HALF Terranuova Traiana 0–0 Scandicci
  7. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Scandicci win: 35% at kick-off, 25% now
  8. 58′We said Scandicci at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 23–54–23
  9. 66′We said Scandicci at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–61–19
  10. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Scandicci win: 35% at kick-off, 15% now
  11. 75′We said Scandicci at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–72–14
  12. 81′We said Scandicci at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–82–9
  13. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Scandicci win: 35% at kick-off, 5% now
  14. 88′We said Scandicci at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–91–4
  15. FTFULL TIME Terranuova Traiana 1–0 Scandicci
  16. FTTerranuova Traiana 1–0 Scandicci · Scandicci win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Scandicci just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Terranuova Traiana 34%, draw 32%, Scandicci 35%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on Terranuova Traiana v ScandicciBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Terranuova Traiana win34%
Draw32%
Scandicci win35%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundGroup E · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Terranuova Traiana

Scandicci

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone E

Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone E

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
7Scandicci7+512
10Terranuova Traiana7+29

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · scandicci winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
35% The market–
Us35%

We make Scandicci a 35% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Terranuova Traiana v Scandicci1.06 – 1.08
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone E this season · since 12 SeptW2 D3 L1 · W3 D2 L1
Table places · points 9 v 1210 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Terranuova Traiana win34%––
Draw32%––
Scandicci win35%––
Over 2.5 goals36%––
Both teams to score43%––
Over 1.5 goals64%––
Over 3.5 goals17%––
Terranuova Traiana or draw65%––
Terranuova Traiana clean sheet35%––
Scandicci clean sheet35%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.1%
0123450 13.2 11.7 6.8 2.5 1 11.5 14.1 7.1 2.6 2 6.6 7.0 3.7 3 2.4 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Terranuova Traiana down, Scandicci across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting1.67
Over 2.51 of 3
Both scored2 of 3
Last meetingsTER 1–1 SCA · SCA 2–1 TER · TER 0–0 SCA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone E this season · since 12 Sept

TERRANUOVA TRAIANA

WDWLDD3–1 · 1–1 · 5–1 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 1–1

SCANDICCI

LWWDWD1–2 · 3–0 · 3–2 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 3–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Prato7+717
2Gavorrano7+615
3Lucchese7+514
4Seravezza7+1013
5Robur Siena7+613
6Tau Altopascio7−213
7Scandicci7+512
8Flaminia7−111
9Ternana7+49
10Terranuova Traiana7+29
11San Donato Tavarnelle7−28
12Mezzolara7−28
13Rondinella7−48
14Montevarchi Calcio7−37
15Sasso Marconi Zola7−55
16Grassina7−73
17Progresso7−123
18Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano7−72

The competition's standings before kick-off.