Ternana v Robur Siena

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Robur Siena win at 39%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Robur Siena was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 35–27–39
3. 1′KICK-OFF Ternana v Robur Siena
4. 5′Ternana score on 5′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 61–20–19
5. 5′We said Robur Siena at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 61–20–19
6. 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Ternana 1–0 Robur Siena
7. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 5' Robur Siena win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
8. 5′THE CALL SWINGS · 5' Ternana win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Robur Siena win 19%)
9. 26′Ternana find the net on 26′. 2–0. 2–0 · 85–10–5
10. 26′We said Robur Siena at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 2–0 · 85–10–5
11. 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Ternana 2–0 Robur Siena
12. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Robur Siena win: 39% at kick-off, 5% now
13. 27′We said Robur Siena at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–0 · 86–10–4
14. 45′HALF-TIME Ternana 2–0 Robur Siena
15. 46′SECOND HALF Ternana 2–0 Robur Siena
16. 51′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 2–0 · 91–7–2
17. 96′A goal for Robur Siena on 90′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 98–2–0
18. 96′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' Ternana 2–1 Robur Siena
19. FTFULL TIME Ternana 2–1 Robur Siena
20. FTTernana 2–1 Robur Siena · Robur Siena win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.