Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Serie D - Girone E › Tau Altopascio v Sasso Marconi Zola

Back
Italy flag

Tau Altopascio v Sasso Marconi Zola

Tau Altopascio
13:30Upcoming
Sasso Marconi Zola

Serie D - Girone E · SUN 25 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Tau AltopascioDrawSasso Marconi Zola
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Tau Altopascio 52%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tau Altopascio are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tau Altopascio 52%, draw 25%, Sasso Marconi Zola 23%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Tau Altopascio v Sasso Marconi ZolaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Tau Altopascio win52%
Draw25%
Sasso Marconi Zola win23%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup E · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tau Altopascio

Sasso Marconi Zola

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone E

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone E

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Tau Altopascio8−313
15Sasso Marconi Zola8−38

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tau altopascio winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
52% The market51%
Us52%
Market51%

We make Tau Altopascio a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.8–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Tau Altopascio v Sasso Marconi Zola1.77 – 1.11
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone E this season · since 16 SeptW3 D1 L2 · W1 D2 L3
Table places · points 13 v 86 v 15
The market · Tau Altopascio win51% · ours 52%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55% 19 OCT 01:3725 OCT 02:43
Our probability · Tau Altopascio win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Tau Altopascio win52%51%+1
Draw25%27%−2
Sasso Marconi Zola win23%22%+1
Over 2.5 goals55%51%+4
Both teams to score56%52%+4
Over 1.5 goals78%74%+4
Over 3.5 goals33%32%+1
Tau Altopascio or draw77%78%−1
Tau Altopascio clean sheet34%––
Sasso Marconi Zola clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%
0123450 6.8 5.5 3.5 1 9.2 11.7 6.0 2.3 2 8.8 9.4 5.2 3 5.2 5.6 3.1 4 2.4 2.5 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Tau Altopascio down, Sasso Marconi Zola across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone E this season · since 16 Sept

TAU ALTOPASCIO

WLWWDL3–2 · 0–3 · 3–2 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 0–1

SASSO MARCONI ZOLA

DLLLDW2–2 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Prato8+718
2Gavorrano8+616
3Seravezza8+1014
4Lucchese8+314
5Robur Siena8+513
6Tau Altopascio8−313
7Ternana8+512
8Scandicci8+412
9Terranuova Traiana8+312
10Flaminia8−112
11San Donato Tavarnelle8−111
12Montevarchi Calcio8010
13Mezzolara8−29
14Rondinella8−49
15Sasso Marconi Zola8−38
16Grassina8−66
17Progresso8−133
18Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano8−102

The competition's standings before kick-off.