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Scandicci v San Donato Tavarnelle
ScandicciSan Donato TavarnelleSerie D - Girone E · SUN 25 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Scandicci are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Scandicci 43%, draw 32%, San Donato Tavarnelle 25%. Over 2.5 goals 32%, both teams to score 39%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Scandicci win43%San Donato Tavarnelle win25%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:30
RoundGroup E · matchday 9
Match timeline
All events
ScandicciMINSan Donato TavarnelleEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Scandicci
San Donato Tavarnelle
Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone E
Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone E
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Scandicci | 8 | +4 | 12 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 8 | −1 | 11 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Scandicci a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scandicci win | 43% | 40% | +3 |
| Draw | 32% | 29% | +3 |
| San Donato Tavarnelle win | 25% | 31% | −6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32% | 49% | −17 |
| Both teams to score | 39% | 53% | −14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 59% | 72% | −13 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% | 30% | −16 |
| Scandicci or draw | 75% | 69% | +6 |
| Scandicci clean sheet | 45% | – | – |
| San Donato Tavarnelle clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone E this season · since 16 Sept
SCANDICCI
SAN DONATO TAVARNELLE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Prato | 8 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 |  Gavorrano | 8 | +6 | 16 |
| 3 |  Seravezza | 8 | +10 | 14 |
| 4 |  Lucchese | 8 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 |  Robur Siena | 8 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 |  Tau Altopascio | 8 | −3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Ternana | 8 | +5 | 12 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 8 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 |  Terranuova Traiana | 8 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Flaminia | 8 | −1 | 12 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 8 | −1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Montevarchi Calcio | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 |  Mezzolara | 8 | −2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Rondinella | 8 | −4 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sasso Marconi Zola | 8 | −3 | 8 |
| 16 |  Grassina | 8 | −6 | 6 |
| 17 |  Progresso | 8 | −13 | 3 |
| 18 |  Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 8 | −10 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.