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San Donato Tavarnelle v Tau Altopascio
San Donato Tavarnelle
Tau AltopascioSerie D - Girone E · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Tau Altopascio win at 35%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Tau Altopascio was 35% before kick-off and our model makes it 35% now. 0–0 · 34–31–35
- 1′KICK-OFF San Donato Tavarnelle v Tau Altopascio
- 26′THE CALL SWINGS · 26' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Tau Altopascio win 32%)
- 45′HALF-TIME San Donato Tavarnelle 0–0 Tau Altopascio
- 46′SECOND HALF San Donato Tavarnelle 0–0 Tau Altopascio
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Tau Altopascio win: 35% at kick-off, 25% now
- 59′We said Tau Altopascio at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 23–54–23
- 64′San Donato Tavarnelle find the net on 64′. 1–0. 1–0 · 79–18–3
- 64′We said Tau Altopascio at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 1–0 · 79–18–3
- 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' San Donato Tavarnelle 1–0 Tau Altopascio
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Tau Altopascio win: 35% at kick-off, 3% now
- 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' San Donato Tavarnelle win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 18%)
- FTFULL TIME San Donato Tavarnelle 1–0 Tau Altopascio
- FTSan Donato Tavarnelle 1–0 Tau Altopascio · Tau Altopascio win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Tau Altopascio just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: San Donato Tavarnelle 34%, draw 31%, Tau Altopascio 35%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 46%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
San Donato Tavarnelle win34%
Tau Altopascio win35%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00
RoundGroup E · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
San Donato TavarnelleMIN
Tau AltopascioEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
San Donato Tavarnelle
Tau Altopascio
Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone E
Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone E
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Tau Altopascio a 35% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Donato Tavarnelle win | 34% | – | – |
| Draw | 31% | – | – |
| Tau Altopascio win | 35% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 46% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | – | – |
| San Donato Tavarnelle or draw | 65% | – | – |
| San Donato Tavarnelle clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
| Tau Altopascio clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone E this season · since 12 Sept
SAN DONATO TAVARNELLE
TAU ALTOPASCIO
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 7 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 | Gavorrano | 7 | +6 | 15 |
| 3 | Lucchese | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Seravezza | 7 | +10 | 13 |
| 5 | Robur Siena | 7 | +6 | 13 |
| 6 | Tau Altopascio | 7 | −2 | 13 |
| 7 | Scandicci | 7 | +5 | 12 |
| 8 | Flaminia | 7 | −1 | 11 |
| 9 | Ternana | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 | Terranuova Traiana | 7 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 7 | −2 | 8 |
| 12 | Mezzolara | 7 | −2 | 8 |
| 13 | Rondinella | 7 | −4 | 8 |
| 14 | Montevarchi Calcio | 7 | −3 | 7 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi Zola | 7 | −5 | 5 |
| 16 | Grassina | 7 | −7 | 3 |
| 17 | Progresso | 7 | −12 | 3 |
| 18 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 7 | −7 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Prato
Gavorrano
Lucchese
Seravezza
Robur Siena
Scandicci
Flaminia
Ternana
Terranuova Traiana
Mezzolara
Rondinella
Montevarchi Calcio
Sasso Marconi Zola
Grassina
Progresso
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano