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Rondinella v Seravezza

Rondinella
0–0Full time
Seravezza

Serie D - Girone E · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43
Rondinella 0–0 Seravezza SERAVEZZA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Seravezza win45%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.782

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Seravezza win at 45%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Seravezza 45% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 26–29–45
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Rondinella v Seravezza
  4. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Seravezza win 36%)
  5. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Seravezza win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Rondinella 0–0 Seravezza
  7. 47′SECOND HALF Rondinella 0–0 Seravezza
  8. 50′We said Seravezza at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 0–0 · 22–45–33
  9. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.4 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 21–48–31
  10. 59′We said Seravezza at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 19–51–29
  11. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Seravezza win: 45% at kick-off, 25% now
  12. 67′We said Seravezza at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 17–59–24
  13. 74′We said Seravezza at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 13–68–19
  14. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Seravezza win: 45% at kick-off, 15% now
  15. 79′We said Seravezza at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 10–76–14
  16. 84′We said Seravezza at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 6–86–8
  17. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Seravezza win: 45% at kick-off, 5% now
  18. 90′We said Seravezza at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 3–92–4
  19. FTFULL TIME Rondinella 0–0 Seravezza
  20. FTRondinella 0–0 Seravezza · Seravezza win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Seravezza are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rondinella 26%, draw 29%, Seravezza 45%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Rondinella v SeravezzaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Rondinella win26%
Draw29%
Seravezza win45%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundGroup E · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rondinella

Seravezza

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone E

Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone E

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Seravezza7+1013
13Rondinella7−48

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · seravezza winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
45% The market–
Us45%

We make Seravezza a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Rondinella v Seravezza1.01 – 1.41
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone E this season · since 12 SeptW2 D1 L3 · W4 D1 L1
Table places · points 8 v 1313 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Rondinella win26%––
Draw29%––
Seravezza win45%––
Over 2.5 goals43%––
Both teams to score48%––
Over 1.5 goals70%––
Over 3.5 goals23%––
Rondinella or draw55%––
Rondinella clean sheet25%––
Seravezza clean sheet37%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.3%
0123450 10.2 11.6 8.8 4.2 1 8.1 13.3 8.6 4.1 2 4.6 6.3 4.4 2.1 3 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Rondinella down, Seravezza across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone E this season · since 12 Sept

RONDINELLA

LLDLWW1–3 · 0–3 · 0–0 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 1–0

SERAVEZZA

WDWWLW5–0 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Prato7+717
2Gavorrano7+615
3Lucchese7+514
4Seravezza7+1013
5Robur Siena7+613
6Tau Altopascio7−213
7Scandicci7+512
8Flaminia7−111
9Ternana7+49
10Terranuova Traiana7+29
11San Donato Tavarnelle7−28
12Mezzolara7−28
13Rondinella7−48
14Montevarchi Calcio7−37
15Sasso Marconi Zola7−55
16Grassina7−73
17Progresso7−123
18Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano7−72

The competition's standings before kick-off.