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Rondinella v Seravezza
Rondinella
SeravezzaSerie D - Girone E · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Seravezza win at 45%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Seravezza 45% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 26–29–45
- 1′KICK-OFF Rondinella v Seravezza
- 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Seravezza win 36%)
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Seravezza win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Rondinella 0–0 Seravezza
- 47′SECOND HALF Rondinella 0–0 Seravezza
- 50′We said Seravezza at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 0–0 · 22–45–33
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.4 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 21–48–31
- 59′We said Seravezza at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 19–51–29
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Seravezza win: 45% at kick-off, 25% now
- 67′We said Seravezza at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 17–59–24
- 74′We said Seravezza at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 13–68–19
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Seravezza win: 45% at kick-off, 15% now
- 79′We said Seravezza at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 10–76–14
- 84′We said Seravezza at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 6–86–8
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Seravezza win: 45% at kick-off, 5% now
- 90′We said Seravezza at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 3–92–4
- FTFULL TIME Rondinella 0–0 Seravezza
- FTRondinella 0–0 Seravezza · Seravezza win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Seravezza are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Rondinella 26%, draw 29%, Seravezza 45%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 48%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Rondinella win26%
Seravezza win45%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00
RoundGroup E · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
RondinellaMIN
SeravezzaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Rondinella
Seravezza
Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone E
Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone E
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Seravezza a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rondinella win | 26% | – | – |
| Draw | 29% | – | – |
| Seravezza win | 45% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 48% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | – | – |
| Rondinella or draw | 55% | – | – |
| Rondinella clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| Seravezza clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone E this season · since 12 Sept
RONDINELLA
SERAVEZZA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 7 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 | Gavorrano | 7 | +6 | 15 |
| 3 | Lucchese | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Seravezza | 7 | +10 | 13 |
| 5 | Robur Siena | 7 | +6 | 13 |
| 6 | Tau Altopascio | 7 | −2 | 13 |
| 7 | Scandicci | 7 | +5 | 12 |
| 8 | Flaminia | 7 | −1 | 11 |
| 9 | Ternana | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 | Terranuova Traiana | 7 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 7 | −2 | 8 |
| 12 | Mezzolara | 7 | −2 | 8 |
| 13 | Rondinella | 7 | −4 | 8 |
| 14 | Montevarchi Calcio | 7 | −3 | 7 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi Zola | 7 | −5 | 5 |
| 16 | Grassina | 7 | −7 | 3 |
| 17 | Progresso | 7 | −12 | 3 |
| 18 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 7 | −7 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Prato
Gavorrano
Lucchese
Robur Siena
Tau Altopascio
Scandicci
Flaminia
Ternana
Terranuova Traiana
San Donato Tavarnelle
Mezzolara
Montevarchi Calcio
Sasso Marconi Zola
Grassina
Progresso
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano