Varesina v Pro Sesto

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Pro Sesto win at 47%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Pro Sesto 47% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 28–26–46
3. 1′KICK-OFF Varesina v Pro Sesto
4. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Pro Sesto win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
5. 45′HALF-TIME Varesina 0–0 Pro Sesto
6. 46′SECOND HALF Varesina 0–0 Pro Sesto
7. 49′We said Pro Sesto at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 0–0 · 24–41–35
8. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Pro Sesto win 35%)
9. 52′We said Pro Sesto at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 23–43–34
10. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.7 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 22–45–33
11. 62′We said Pro Sesto at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 20–51–29
12. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Pro Sesto win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
13. 70′We said Pro Sesto at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 17–60–24
14. 76′We said Pro Sesto at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 13–68–19
15. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Pro Sesto win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
16. 80′We said Pro Sesto at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 10–75–14
17. 84′We said Pro Sesto at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 7–84–9
18. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Pro Sesto win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
19. 91′We said Pro Sesto at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 3–93–4
20. FTFULL TIME Varesina 0–0 Pro Sesto
21. FTVaresina 0–0 Pro Sesto · Pro Sesto win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.