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Solbiatese v Coriano
Solbiatese
CorianoSerie D - Girone D · WED 21 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Solbiatese win at 45%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Solbiatese 45% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 44–30–25
- 1′KICK-OFF Solbiatese v Coriano
- 42′🟨 YELLOW · 21' Solbiatese
- 42′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Coriano
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Solbiatese win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
- 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Solbiatese win 39%)
- 43′A goal for Solbiatese on 43′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 79–17–4
- 43′We said Solbiatese at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 1–0 · 79–17–4
- 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Solbiatese 1–0 Coriano
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Solbiatese win: 45% at kick-off, 79% now
- 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Solbiatese win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 43%)
- 45′The goal count is tracking the 2.1 we expected. 1–0 · 79–17–4
- 45′HALF-TIME Solbiatese 1–0 Coriano
- 46′SECOND HALF Solbiatese 1–0 Coriano
- 49′We said Solbiatese at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–4
- 56′Solbiatese score on 55′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 97–3–0
- 56′We said Solbiatese at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 2–0 · 97–3–0
- 56′⚽ GOAL · 55' Solbiatese 2–0 Coriano
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Solbiatese win: 45% at kick-off, 97% now
- 79′We said Solbiatese at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 89′Coriano find the net on 89′. 2–1. 2–1 · 97–3–0
- 89′3 goals already, more than the 2.1 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 97–3–0
- 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Solbiatese 2–1 Coriano
- FTFULL TIME Solbiatese 2–1 Coriano
- FTSolbiatese 2–1 Coriano · Solbiatese win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Solbiatese are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Solbiatese 45%, draw 30%, Coriano 25%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 41%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
Solbiatese win45%
Coriano win25%Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 14:00
RoundGroup D · matchday 6
Match timeline
All events
SolbiateseMIN
CorianoEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Solbiatese
Coriano
Last match: 17 Oct · Serie D - Girone D
Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone D
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Solbiatese a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 43%, 45% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Solbiatese win | 45% | – | – |
| Draw | 30% | – | – |
| Coriano win | 25% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 41% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | – | – |
| Solbiatese or draw | 75% | – | – |
| Solbiatese clean sheet | 43% | – | – |
| Coriano clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone D this season · since 12 Sept
SOLBIATESE
CORIANO
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 8 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 | Pro Patria | 8 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 | Castellanzese | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Lentigione | 8 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 8 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 | USD Casatese | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 | Città di Varese | 8 | +6 | 12 |
| 8 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 8 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Sant'Angelo | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 | Correggese | 8 | −5 | 10 |
| 11 | Pavia | 8 | +1 | 8 |
| 12 | Crema | 8 | −7 | 8 |
| 13 | Varesina | 8 | −3 | 7 |
| 14 | Solbiatese | 7 | −4 | 7 |
| 15 | Coriano | 7 | −4 | 5 |
| 16 | Oltrepò | 8 | −12 | 4 |
| 17 | Arconatese | 8 | −14 | 3 |
| 18 | Pontedera | 8 | −16 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Pistoiese
Pro Patria
Castellanzese
Lentigione
Pro Sesto
USD Casatese
Città di Varese
Cittadella Vis Modena
Sant'Angelo
Correggese
Pavia
Crema
Varesina
Oltrepò
Arconatese
Pontedera