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Pro Patria v Correggese
Pro PatriaCorreggeseSerie D - Girone D · SUN 25 OCT · Carlo Speroni
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Pro Patria are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Pro Patria 45%, draw 30%, Correggese 26%. Over 2.5 goals 37%, both teams to score 43%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Pro Patria win45%Correggese win26%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:30
RoundGroup D · matchday 9
VenueCarlo Speroni
Match timeline
All events
Pro PatriaMINCorreggeseEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Pro Patria
Correggese
Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone D
Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone D
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pro Patria | 8 | +8 | 19 |
| 11 | Correggese | 8 | −5 | 10 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Pro Patria a 45% chance to win. The market has them at 62%. We are 17 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 62% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Patria win | 45% | 62% | −17 |
| Draw | 30% | 24% | +6 |
| Correggese win | 26% | 14% | +12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 50% | −13 |
| Both teams to score | 43% | 46% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | 72% | −8 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 31% | −13 |
| Pro Patria or draw | 74% | 86% | −12 |
| Pro Patria clean sheet | 41% | – | – |
| Correggese clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone D this season · since 16 Sept
PRO PATRIA
CORREGGESE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pistoiese | 8 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 | Pro Patria | 8 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 |  Castellanzese | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Lentigione | 8 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |  Pro Sesto | 8 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  USD Casatese | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Città di Varese | 8 | +6 | 12 |
| 8 |  Cittadella Vis Modena | 8 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Sant'Angelo | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Solbiatese | 8 | −3 | 10 |
| 11 | Correggese | 8 | −5 | 10 |
| 12 |  Pavia | 8 | +1 | 8 |
| 13 |  Crema | 8 | −7 | 8 |
| 14 |  Varesina | 8 | −3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Coriano | 8 | −5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Oltrepò | 8 | −12 | 4 |
| 17 |  Arconatese | 8 | −14 | 3 |
| 18 |  Pontedera | 8 | −16 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.