Home › Football › Serie D - Girone D › Lentigione v Crema
Back
Lentigione v Crema
LentigioneCremaSerie D - Girone D · SUN 25 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Lentigione are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Lentigione 62%, draw 23%, Crema 15%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 47%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Lentigione win62%Crema win15%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:30
RoundGroup D · matchday 9
Match timeline
All events
LentigioneMINCremaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Lentigione
Crema
Last match: 17 Oct · Serie D - Girone D
Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone D
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lentigione | 8 | +5 | 17 |
| 13 | Crema | 8 | −7 | 8 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Lentigione a 62% chance to win. The market has them at 65%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 65% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lentigione win | 62% | 65% | −3 |
| Draw | 23% | 22% | +1 |
| Crema win | 15% | 14% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 53% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 47% | 47% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 76% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 31% | −2 |
| Lentigione or draw | 85% | 86% | −1 |
| Lentigione clean sheet | 45% | – | – |
| Crema clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone D this season · since 16 Sept
LENTIGIONE
CREMA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pistoiese | 8 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 |  Pro Patria | 8 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 |  Castellanzese | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Lentigione | 8 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |  Pro Sesto | 8 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  USD Casatese | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Città di Varese | 8 | +6 | 12 |
| 8 |  Cittadella Vis Modena | 8 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Sant'Angelo | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Solbiatese | 8 | −3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Correggese | 8 | −5 | 10 |
| 12 |  Pavia | 8 | +1 | 8 |
| 13 | Crema | 8 | −7 | 8 |
| 14 |  Varesina | 8 | −3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Coriano | 8 | −5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Oltrepò | 8 | −12 | 4 |
| 17 |  Arconatese | 8 | −14 | 3 |
| 18 |  Pontedera | 8 | −16 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.