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Città di Varese v Oltrepò

Città di Varese
2–0Full time
Oltrepò

Serie D - Girone D · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47
Città di Varese 2–0 Oltrepò CITTÀ DI VARESE WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Città di Varese win47%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.421

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 2 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Città di Varese win at 47%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Città di Varese v Oltrepò
  3. 2′Much as we predicted: Città di Varese was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–26–27
  4. 4′Much as we predicted: Città di Varese was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–26–27
  5. FTFULL TIME Città di Varese 2–0 Oltrepò
  6. FTCittà di Varese 2–0 Oltrepò · Città di Varese win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Città di Varese win47%
Draw27%
Oltrepò win26%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Città di Varese

Oltrepò

7Days since last match7
2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
9Città di Varese606
16Oltrepò5−73

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · città di varese winPublished 11 Oct 17:22
47% The market–
Us47%

We make Città di Varese a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Città di Varese win47%––
Draw27%––
Oltrepò win26%––
Over 2.5 goals48%––
Both teams to score51%––
Over 1.5 goals73%––
Over 3.5 goals27%––
Città di Varese or draw74%––
Città di Varese clean sheet35%––
Oltrepò clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.4%
0123450 8.3 7.5 4.3 1 10.8 12.4 6.3 2.3 2 8.5 8.9 4.8 3 4.4 4.6 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Città di Varese down, Oltrepò across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone D

CITTÀ DI VARESE

DLDWDL1–1 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 2–3

OLTREPÒ

LWLLL1–2 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–6 · 1–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Pistoiese6+1618
2Pro Sesto6+1213
3Pro Patria6+613
4Lentigione6+313
5Castellanzese6+812
6Correggese6+111
7Cittadella Vis Modena6+310
8USD Casatese6+110
9Città di Varese606
10Sant'Angelo6−36
11Varesina6−35
12Solbiatese5−45
13Coriano4−14
14Pavia5−14
15Crema6−104
16Oltrepò5−73
17Arconatese6−93
18Pontedera5−120

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-11 16:20 UTC.