Virtus Bolzano v Bassano Virtus

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Bassano Virtus win at 57%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Bassano Virtus was 57% before kick-off and our model makes it 57% now. 0–0 · 18–25–57
3. 1′KICK-OFF Virtus Bolzano v Bassano Virtus
4. 26′A goal for Virtus Bolzano on 26′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 49–27–24
5. 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Virtus Bolzano 1–0 Bassano Virtus
6. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Bassano Virtus win: 57% at kick-off, 24% now
7. 26′THE CALL SWINGS · 26' Virtus Bolzano win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Bassano Virtus win 24%)
8. 27′We said Bassano Virtus at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–0 · 49–27–24
9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 50–27–23
10. 38′We said Bassano Virtus at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 53–28–19
11. 39′Bassano Virtus score on 39′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 17–36–47
12. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Virtus Bolzano 1–1 Bassano Virtus
13. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Bassano Virtus win: 57% at kick-off, 47% now
14. 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Bassano Virtus win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Virtus Bolzano win 17%)
15. 42′We said Bassano Virtus at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 45%. 1–1 · 17–38–45
16. 44′We said Bassano Virtus at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 17–39–44
17. 45′HALF-TIME Virtus Bolzano 1–1 Bassano Virtus
18. 46′SECOND HALF Virtus Bolzano 1–1 Bassano Virtus
19. 54′We said Bassano Virtus at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 16–45–39
20. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Bassano Virtus win 39%)
21. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Bassano Virtus win: 57% at kick-off, 37% now
22. 62′We said Bassano Virtus at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 14–52–34
23. 68′We said Bassano Virtus at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 12–58–29
24. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Bassano Virtus win: 57% at kick-off, 27% now
25. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Bassano Virtus win: 57% at kick-off, 17% now
26. 82′We said Bassano Virtus at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 6–81–13
27. 86′We said Bassano Virtus at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 4–87–9
28. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Bassano Virtus win: 57% at kick-off, 7% now
29. 90′Virtus Bolzano find the net on 90′. 2–1. 2–1 · 95–5–0
30. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Virtus Bolzano 2–1 Bassano Virtus
31. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Virtus Bolzano win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 5%)
32. 91′We said Bassano Virtus at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 2–1 · 95–4–0
33. 92′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 96–4–0
34. FTFULL TIME Virtus Bolzano 2–1 Bassano Virtus
35. FTVirtus Bolzano 2–1 Bassano Virtus · Bassano Virtus win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.