Conegliano v Schio prediction · Serie D - Girone C

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ConeglianoDrawSchio

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Conegliano 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Conegliano are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Conegliano 42%, draw 31%, Schio 26%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on Conegliano v SchioBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Conegliano win42%

Draw31%

Schio win26%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup C · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Conegliano

Schio

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone C

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Conegliano	8	−4	10
17	Schio	8	−3	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · conegliano winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Conegliano a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Conegliano v Schio~~1.21 – 0.89

~~Form · last six in Serie D - Girone C this season · since 16 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 10 v 7~~11 v 17

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Conegliano win	42%	–	–
Draw	31%	–	–
Schio win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	35%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	63%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	16%	–	–
Conegliano or draw	74%	–	–
Conegliano clean sheet	42%	–	–
Schio clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.8%

0123450 13.6 10.0 4.9 1 13.8 13.8 5.7 2 8.9 7.7 3.4 3 3.7 3.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Conegliano down, Schio across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,682 Serie D - Girone C matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Serie D - Girone C matches have gone over 2.5 in 45.8% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Conegliano at home: 0.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Schio away: 0.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.21 goals for Conegliano, 0.89 for Schio. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone C this season · since 16 Sept

CONEGLIANO

WWLLWL1–0 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–1

SCHIO

DDLDLW0–0 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 0–3 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Luparense	8	+12	18
2	Cjarlins Muzane	8	+10	18
3	Clodiense	8	+3	16
4	Sandona	8	+4	15
5	Legnago Salus	8	+3	13
6	Campodarsego	8	+2	13
7	Bassano Virtus	8	+3	12
8	LME	8	−2	11
9	Mestre	8	0	10
10	Este	8	0	10
11	Conegliano	8	−4	10
12	Altavilla	8	+6	9
13	Triestina	8	−2	9
14	Virtus Bolzano	8	−15	9
15	Calvi Noale	8	−3	8
16	FC Obermais	8	−4	8
17	Schio	8	−3	7
18	Brian Lignano	8	−10	3