Cjarlins Muzane v Legnago Salus prediction · Serie D

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:56

Cjarlins Muzane 0–4 Legnago Salus LEGNAGO SALUS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Legnago Salus win~~37%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.597

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 10 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Legnago Salus win at 37%.
1′KICK-OFF Cjarlins Muzane v Legnago Salus
2′Much as we predicted: Cjarlins Muzane was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 38–24–38
4′Much as we predicted: Cjarlins Muzane was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 37–25–38
45′⚽ GOAL · 6' Cjarlins Muzane 0–3 Legnago Salus
45′⚽ GOAL · 8' Cjarlins Muzane 0–3 Legnago Salus
45′⚽ GOAL · 52' Cjarlins Muzane 0–3 Legnago Salus
45′HALF-TIME Cjarlins Muzane 0–3 Legnago Salus
46′SECOND HALF Cjarlins Muzane 0–3 Legnago Salus
90′⚽ GOAL · 6' Cjarlins Muzane 0–3 Legnago Salus
90′⚽ GOAL · 8' Cjarlins Muzane 0–3 Legnago Salus
90′⚽ GOAL · 34' Cjarlins Muzane 0–3 Legnago Salus
FTFULL TIME Cjarlins Muzane 0–4 Legnago Salus
FTCjarlins Muzane 0–4 Legnago Salus · Legnago Salus win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Cjarlins Muzane win37%

Draw26%

Legnago Salus win37%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Cjarlins Muzane

Legnago Salus

8Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Cjarlins Muzane	6	+12	15
11	Legnago Salus	6	−3	7

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · legnago salus winPublished 11 Oct 14:09

37% The market–

Us37%

We make Legnago Salus a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Cjarlins Muzane win	37%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Legnago Salus win	37%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Cjarlins Muzane or draw	63%	–	–
Cjarlins Muzane clean sheet	22%	–	–
Legnago Salus clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%

0123450 6.1 6.5 5.6 2.8 1 6.5 11.8 8.1 4.2 2 5.5 8.1 6.1 3.1 3 2.8 4.1 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Cjarlins Muzane down, Legnago Salus across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,664 Serie D - Girone C matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Serie D - Girone C matches have gone over 2.5 in 44.4% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 2.25 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Cjarlins Muzane at home: 2.17 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Legnago Salus away: 1.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.52 goals for Cjarlins Muzane, 1.52 for Legnago Salus. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~2.25

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~CJA 0–3 LEG · LEG 2–2 CJA · CJA 0–1 LEG · LEG 1–0 CJA

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone C

CJARLINS MUZANE

WWLWWW5–2 · 4–1 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 3–0

LEGNAGO SALUS

LDWLWL1–3 · 1–1 · 3–2 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Cjarlins Muzane	6	+12	15
2	Luparense	6	+11	14
3	Sandona	6	+2	11
4	Mestre	6	+3	10
5	Campodarsego	6	+2	10
6	Clodiense	6	+1	10
7	Bassano Virtus	6	+3	9
8	Calvi Noale	6	0	8
9	LME	6	−2	8
10	Este	6	0	7
11	Legnago Salus	6	−3	7
12	Conegliano	6	−4	7
13	Altavilla	6	+5	6
14	Triestina	6	−2	6
15	Virtus Bolzano	6	−13	6
16	FC Obermais	6	−5	5
17	Schio	6	−3	4
18	Brian Lignano	6	−7	3