Campodarsego v Clodiense prediction · Serie D

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CampodarsegoDrawClodiense

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Clodiense 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Clodiense are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Campodarsego 32%, draw 30%, Clodiense 38%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Campodarsego v ClodienseBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Campodarsego win32%

Draw30%

Clodiense win38%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup C · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Campodarsego

Clodiense

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone C

Last match: 17 Oct · Serie D - Girone C

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Clodiense	8	+3	16
6	Campodarsego	8	+2	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · clodiense winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

38% The market32%

Us38%

~~Market~~32%

We make Clodiense a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 32%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Campodarsego v Clodiense~~1.09 – 1.23

~~Form · last six in Serie D - Girone C this season · since 16 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 13 v 16~~6 v 3

~~The market · Clodiense win~~32% · ours 38%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Clodiense win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 32% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Campodarsego win	32%	38%	−6
Draw	30%	30%	0
Clodiense win	38%	32%	+6
Over 2.5 goals	41%	46%	−5
Both teams to score	47%	51%	−4
Over 1.5 goals	68%	69%	−1
Over 3.5 goals	21%	27%	−6
Campodarsego or draw	62%	68%	−6
Campodarsego clean sheet	30%	–	–
Clodiense clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.8%

0123450 11.2 11.2 7.4 3.1 1 9.8 13.8 7.8 3.3 2 5.9 7.0 4.3 3 2.2 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Campodarsego down, Clodiense across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,682 Serie D - Girone C matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Serie D - Girone C matches have gone over 2.5 in 45.8% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.70 goals a meeting; 2 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Campodarsego at home: 2.50 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Clodiense away: 1.83 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.09 goals for Campodarsego, 1.23 for Clodiense. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.70

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~CLO 2–1 CAM · CLO 0–0 CAM · CAM 1–1 CLO · CAM 0–1 CLO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone C this season · since 16 Sept

CAMPODARSEGO

WWLDWL2–1 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 4–1 · 1–4

CLODIENSE

WWLLWW1–0 · 5–3 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Luparense	8	+12	18
2	Cjarlins Muzane	8	+10	18
3	Clodiense	8	+3	16
4	Sandona	8	+4	15
5	Legnago Salus	8	+3	13
6	Campodarsego	8	+2	13
7	Bassano Virtus	8	+3	12
8	LME	8	−2	11
9	Mestre	8	0	10
10	Este	8	0	10
11	Conegliano	8	−4	10
12	Altavilla	8	+6	9
13	Triestina	8	−2	9
14	Virtus Bolzano	8	−15	9
15	Calvi Noale	8	−3	8
16	FC Obermais	8	−4	8
17	Schio	8	−3	7
18	Brian Lignano	8	−10	3