Bassano Virtus v Brian Lignano prediction · Serie D

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:56

Bassano Virtus 1–0 Brian Lignano BASSANO VIRTUS WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Bassano Virtus win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.497

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 4 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Bassano Virtus win at 42%.
1′KICK-OFF Bassano Virtus v Brian Lignano
2′Much as we predicted: Bassano Virtus was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–28–29
4′Much as we predicted: Bassano Virtus was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–28–29
45′HALF-TIME Bassano Virtus 0–0 Brian Lignano
46′SECOND HALF Bassano Virtus 0–0 Brian Lignano
FTFULL TIME Bassano Virtus 1–0 Brian Lignano
FTBassano Virtus 1–0 Brian Lignano · Bassano Virtus win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Bassano Virtus win42%

Draw30%

Brian Lignano win28%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

VenueStadio Rino Mercante

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Bassano Virtus

Brian Lignano

7Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Bassano Virtus	6	+3	9
18	Brian Lignano	6	−7	3

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bassano virtus winPublished 11 Oct 14:09

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Bassano Virtus a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bassano Virtus win	42%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Brian Lignano win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	42%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	69%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Bassano Virtus or draw	72%	–	–
Bassano Virtus clean sheet	36%	–	–
Brian Lignano clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.7%

0123450 10.8 8.7 5.0 1 11.5 13.7 6.5 2.3 2 8.3 8.4 4.3 3 3.7 3.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bassano Virtus down, Brian Lignano across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,664 Serie D - Girone C matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Serie D - Girone C matches have gone over 2.5 in 44.4% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bassano Virtus at home: 1.33 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Brian Lignano away: 2.33 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.33 goals for Bassano Virtus, 1.03 for Brian Lignano. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 4

~~Both scored~~4 of 4

~~Last meetings~~BRI 1–1 BAS · BAS 1–1 BRI · BRI 1–1 BAS · BAS 1–1 BRI

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone C

BASSANO VIRTUS

LDDDWW1–2 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 2–0

BRIAN LIGNANO

LLLLWL0–2 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 3–5 · 1–0 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Cjarlins Muzane	6	+12	15
2	Luparense	6	+11	14
3	Sandona	6	+2	11
4	Mestre	6	+3	10
5	Campodarsego	6	+2	10
6	Clodiense	6	+1	10
7	Bassano Virtus	6	+3	9
8	Calvi Noale	6	0	8
9	LME	6	−2	8
10	Este	6	0	7
11	Legnago Salus	6	−3	7
12	Conegliano	6	−4	7
13	Altavilla	6	+5	6
14	Triestina	6	−2	6
15	Virtus Bolzano	6	−13	6
16	FC Obermais	6	−5	5
17	Schio	6	−3	4
18	Brian Lignano	6	−7	3