Home › Football › Serie D - Girone B › Virtus Ciserano Bergamo v Leon
Back

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo v Leon
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
LeonSerie D - Girone B · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win at 37%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 37–29–34
- 1′KICK-OFF Virtus Ciserano Bergamo v Leon
- 24′A goal for Leon on 23′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 34–34–32
- 24′⚽ GOAL · 23' Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1–1 Leon
- 32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win 32%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1–1 Leon
- 46′SECOND HALF Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1–1 Leon
- 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
- 57′We said Virtus Ciserano Bergamo at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 1–1 · 25–51–24
- 59′We said Virtus Ciserano Bergamo at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–52–23
- 62′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 1–1 · 23–55–22
- 69′We said Virtus Ciserano Bergamo at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–62–18
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win: 37% at kick-off, 17% now
- 76′We said Virtus Ciserano Bergamo at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–72–14
- 82′We said Virtus Ciserano Bergamo at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–82–9
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
- 89′We said Virtus Ciserano Bergamo at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–91–4
- FTFULL TIME Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1–2 Leon
- FTVirtus Ciserano Bergamo 1–2 Leon · Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Virtus Ciserano Bergamo just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 37%, draw 29%, Leon 34%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 48%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win37%
Leon win34%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00
RoundGroup B · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
Virtus Ciserano BergamoMIN
LeonEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Leon
Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone B
Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone B
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Virtus Ciserano Bergamo a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win | 37% | – | – |
| Draw | 29% | – | – |
| Leon win | 34% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 48% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | – | – |
| Virtus Ciserano Bergamo or draw | 66% | – | – |
| Virtus Ciserano Bergamo clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| Leon clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone B this season · since 12 Sept
VIRTUS CISERANO BERGAMO
LEON
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nibbiano & Valtidone | 7 | +8 | 18 |
| 2 | Chievo | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Leon | 7 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Caldiero Terme | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Piacenza | 6 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 | Villa Valle | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Pro Palazzolo | 7 | −3 | 10 |
| 8 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 9 | Milan II | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Brusaporto | 7 | −2 | 9 |
| 11 | Virtus Verona | 7 | −2 | 9 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 7 | −1 | 8 |
| 13 | Scanzorosciate | 7 | −2 | 8 |
| 14 | Club Milano | 7 | −2 | 7 |
| 15 | Pavonese | 6 | −4 | 7 |
| 16 | Rovato Vertovese | 7 | −3 | 6 |
| 17 | Fiorenzuola | 7 | −6 | 3 |
| 18 | Tritium | 7 | −9 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Nibbiano & Valtidone
Chievo
Caldiero Terme
Piacenza
Villa Valle
Pro Palazzolo
Milan II
Brusaporto
Virtus Verona
Real Calepina
Scanzorosciate
Club Milano
Pavonese
Rovato Vertovese
Fiorenzuola
Tritium