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Villa Valle v Pro Palazzolo
Villa Valle
Pro PalazzoloSerie D - Girone B · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Pro Palazzolo win at 42%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Pro Palazzolo was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 30–28–42
- 1′KICK-OFF Villa Valle v Pro Palazzolo
- 23′A goal for Villa Valle on 23′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 61–23–15
- 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Villa Valle 1–0 Pro Palazzolo
- 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Pro Palazzolo win: 42% at kick-off, 15% now
- 23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Villa Valle win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Pro Palazzolo win 15%)
- 24′We said Pro Palazzolo at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 1–0 · 62–23–15
- 27′We said Pro Palazzolo at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 62–23–14
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 63–24–14
- 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Pro Palazzolo win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Villa Valle 1–0 Pro Palazzolo
- 46′We said Pro Palazzolo at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 67–23–9
- 46′SECOND HALF Villa Valle 1–0 Pro Palazzolo
- 65′We said Pro Palazzolo at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 76–20–4
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Pro Palazzolo win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
- FTFULL TIME Villa Valle 1–0 Pro Palazzolo
- FTVilla Valle 1–0 Pro Palazzolo · Pro Palazzolo win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Pro Palazzolo are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Villa Valle 30%, draw 28%, Pro Palazzolo 42%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 50%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Villa Valle win30%
Pro Palazzolo win42%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00
RoundGroup B · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
Villa ValleMIN
Pro PalazzoloEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Villa Valle
Pro Palazzolo
Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone B
Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone B
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Pro Palazzolo a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Valle win | 30% | – | – |
| Draw | 28% | – | – |
| Pro Palazzolo win | 42% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 50% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | – | – |
| Villa Valle or draw | 58% | – | – |
| Villa Valle clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
| Pro Palazzolo clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone B this season · since 12 Sept
VILLA VALLE
PRO PALAZZOLO
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nibbiano & Valtidone | 7 | +8 | 18 |
| 2 | Chievo | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Leon | 7 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Caldiero Terme | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Piacenza | 6 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 | Villa Valle | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Pro Palazzolo | 7 | −3 | 10 |
| 8 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 9 | Milan II | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Brusaporto | 7 | −2 | 9 |
| 11 | Virtus Verona | 7 | −2 | 9 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 7 | −1 | 8 |
| 13 | Scanzorosciate | 7 | −2 | 8 |
| 14 | Club Milano | 7 | −2 | 7 |
| 15 | Pavonese | 6 | −4 | 7 |
| 16 | Rovato Vertovese | 7 | −3 | 6 |
| 17 | Fiorenzuola | 7 | −6 | 3 |
| 18 | Tritium | 7 | −9 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Nibbiano & Valtidone
Chievo
Leon
Caldiero Terme
Piacenza
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Milan II
Brusaporto
Virtus Verona
Real Calepina
Scanzorosciate
Club Milano
Pavonese
Rovato Vertovese
Fiorenzuola
Tritium