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Model 1.1

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Tritium v Club Milano

Tritium
0–1Full time
Club Milano

Serie D - Girone B · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47
Tritium 0–1 Club Milano CLUB MILANO WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Club Milano win42%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.508

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 2 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Club Milano win at 42%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Tritium v Club Milano
  3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Club Milano 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 31–27–42
  4. 4′Little has changed for our model: Club Milano 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 31–27–42
  5. FTFULL TIME Tritium 0–1 Club Milano
  6. FTTritium 0–1 Club Milano · Club Milano win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

The match pulse

FULL TIME

Match outcome probability (%)

TritiumDrawClub Milano
Our model, re-priced from the score and the clock at every minuteFull time
Full time · Tritium 0–1 Club Milano

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Tritium

Club Milano

8Days since last match7
2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
15Club Milano6−34
18Tritium6−82

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Tritium win31%
Draw27%
Club Milano win42%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · club milano winPublished 11 Oct 17:22
42% The market–
Us42%

We make Club Milano a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Tritium win31%––
Draw27%––
Club Milano win42%––
Over 2.5 goals46%––
Both teams to score50%––
Over 1.5 goals72%––
Over 3.5 goals25%––
Tritium or draw58%––
Tritium clean sheet26%––
Club Milano clean sheet33%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%
0123450 9.0 10.7 7.6 3.6 1 8.8 12.7 8.4 3.9 2 5.3 7.0 4.7 2.2 3 2.1 2.7 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Tritium down, Club Milano across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2023
Goals a meeting1.50
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsCLU 1–1 TRI · TRI 0–1 CLU

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone B

TRITIUM

LLDLDL1–2 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 2–2 · 0–5

CLUB MILANO

LWLLDL0–1 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Chievo6+815
2Nibbiano & Valtidone6+515
3Piacenza6+611
4Pro Palazzolo6−110
5Virtus Ciserano Bergamo6+49
6Leon6+29
7Caldiero Terme6+19
8Milan II4+19
9Brusaporto6−19
10Real Calepina6+28
11Virtus Verona6−28
12Villa Valle607
13Pavonese5−17
14Scanzorosciate6−35
15Club Milano6−34
16Rovato Vertovese6−43
17Fiorenzuola7−63
18Tritium6−82

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-11 16:20 UTC.